Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Southern Miss

61.7%South Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota State -161

South Dakota State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 77

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricSouth Dakota State

49.9MMH Power Index49.6

106.1Offensive Efficiency110.6

104.9Defensive Efficiency106.9

1.2Net Efficiency3.7

-0.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.5

70.4Tempo68.2

49.9%Effective FG%52.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.2%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

43.9%Free Throw Rate30.3%

0.9Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–49.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–106.9), strength of schedule (-0.2–-2.2), recent form (3.8–0.5).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–106.1), net efficiency (3.7–1.2), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.9).

Final

Southern Miss

76—101

South Dakota State

South Dakota State by 25 • 84.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATSouth Dakota State

26-75FG36-59

35.0%FG%61.0%

7-353PT8-21

20.0%3PT%38.0%

17-29FT21-29

59.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds50

13Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists17

11Turnovers18

13Steals5

2Blocks2

24Fouls22

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	31	5-11	1-6	2-5	4	2	1	1	13
Christian Watson	G	26	3-13	1-8	5-6	3	3	2	0	12
Denijay Harris	Forward	33	4-14	0-3	3-5	12	1	1	0	11
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	14	4-8	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Andre Curbelo	Guard	24	3-10	1-1	1-1	2	4	6	1	8
Jett Montgomery	G	9	2-5	2-5	1-3	0	1	0	0	7
Christian Reid	Guard	8	2-3	0-1	2-3	4	0	0	0	6
Brewer Carruth	G	7	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	24	0-4	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Lieb Yat	Center	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jose Benitez	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tegra Izay	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Trey Alfonso	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Jackson	G	20	5-9	4-7	5-6	10	1	1	1	19
Oscar Cluff	C	16	7-7	0-0	2-2	9	1	0	0	16
Kalen Garry	G	25	3-8	1-5	7-7	5	2	0	0	14
Stoney Hadnot	F	25	5-7	0-0	2-5	10	2	0	1	12
Matthew Mors	F	22	5-6	0-0	0-1	2	2	1	0	10
William Whorton	F	19	4-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	8
Nate Barnhart	Forward	18	2-3	0-1	4-6	1	0	0	0	8
Isaac Lindsey	Guard	22	2-5	2-4	1-2	3	4	0	0	7
Owen Larson	G	24	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	5	1	0	5
Damon Wilkinson	C	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

84.8Possessions84.8

89.6Offensive Efficiency119.1

119.1Defensive Efficiency89.6

-29.5Net Efficiency29.5

39.3%Effective FG%67.8%

42.8%True Shooting %69.4%

12.7%Turnover Rate21.7%

38.7%Free Throw Rate49.2%

46.7%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

South Dakota State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 84.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.