UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%UC Davis

85.6%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -594

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 69

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 81

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricGrand Canyon

48.4MMH Power Index59.8

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency99.1

3.5Net Efficiency10.1

-1.9Strength of Schedule2.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

72.4Tempo69.3

52.3%Effective FG%52.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

41.5%Free Throw Rate41.0%

2.5Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Grand Canyon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGrand Canyon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–48.4), offensive efficiency (109.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (99.1–103.7), net efficiency (10.1–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.3–52.1), free throw rate (41.5–41.0).

Final

UC Davis

75—68

Grand Canyon

UC Davis by 7 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATGrand Canyon

26-57FG22-59

46.0%FG%37.0%

7-153PT4-25

47.0%3PT%16.0%

16-18FT20-28

89.0%FT%71.0%

35Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists11

18Turnovers18

11Steals13

3Blocks5

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	34	7-20	0-1	7-7	5	3	4	0	21
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	25	6-10	4-7	0-0	3	3	2	0	16
Pablo Tamba	F	25	7-11	0-0	1-3	9	0	2	2	15
Connor Sevilla	G	26	3-5	3-5	3-3	1	0	1	0	12
Nils Cooper	G	20	2-4	0-0	3-3	2	0	1	0	7
Niko Rocak	F	33	1-2	0-1	0-0	13	2	0	1	2
Sione Lose	Guard	20	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Chappell	F	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaKobe Coles	Forward	34	6-12	1-6	5-6	6	3	0	1	18
Tyon Grant-Foster	G	31	6-14	1-5	5-7	9	2	2	0	18
Lok Wur	Forward	25	2-8	0-4	5-6	5	0	2	0	9
Ray Harrison	Guard	34	2-10	1-4	3-4	3	3	2	1	8
Collin Moore	Guard	33	2-6	1-2	1-3	9	2	5	2	6
Makaih Williams	G	21	2-5	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Caleb Shaw	G	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Styles Phipps	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Austin Maurer	C	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

100.8Offensive Efficiency91.4

91.4Defensive Efficiency100.8

9.4Net Efficiency-9.4

51.8%Effective FG%40.7%

57.2%True Shooting %47.0%

24.5%Turnover Rate23.9%

31.6%Free Throw Rate47.5%

26.3%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.61

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.