Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%Cal Poly

73.3%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL165.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -275

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 79

Projected Total165.6

Projected ScoreArizona State 86

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricArizona State

46.5MMH Power Index51

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.1

111.0Defensive Efficiency110.9

-3.8Net Efficiency-2.8

1.7Strength of Schedule7.0

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

76.6Tempo70.6

52.2%Effective FG%51.3%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

35.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-2.9Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–46.5), offensive efficiency (108.1–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.9–111.0), net efficiency (-2.8–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.4–-7.5), shooting efficiency (52.2–51.3), offensive rebounding (29.9–29.6).

Final

Cal Poly

89—93

Arizona State

Arizona State by 4 • 78.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATArizona State

33-64FG28-58

52.0%FG%48.0%

13-373PT10-24

35.0%3PT%42.0%

10-15FT27-41

67.0%FT%66.0%

24Rebounds44

3Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists15

12Turnovers13

8Steals9

3Blocks4

29Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	35	9-18	7-14	2-3	4	3	1	0	27
Isaac Jessup	Guard	35	6-10	4-7	1-2	0	3	2	0	17
Kieran Elliott	G	24	6-7	1-2	1-3	5	1	1	0	14
Owen Koonce	Guard	32	3-9	1-5	2-2	6	3	1	2	9
Mac Riniker	Guard	20	3-9	0-4	2-3	1	4	0	0	8
Peter Bandelj	G	17	3-6	0-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	8
Paul Bizimana	Forward	8	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Luka Tarlac	G	22	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	3	3	1	2
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Menzies	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Guzman Vasilic	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joson Sanon	G	28	7-13	2-5	6-9	5	1	1	0	22
Adam Miller	G	33	4-6	4-5	4-4	4	2	1	0	16
Alston Mason	Guard	36	5-9	1-3	3-4	3	5	1	0	14
BJ Freeman	Guard	27	4-9	2-5	3-4	6	5	2	0	13
Jayden Quaintance	F	34	4-11	0-1	3-7	12	1	1	4	11
Basheer Jihad	Forward	24	2-4	1-2	6-9	7	1	3	0	11
Amier Ali	G	18	2-6	0-3	2-4	4	0	0	0	6

Advanced Game Stats

78.8Possessions78.8

112.9Offensive Efficiency118.0

118.0Defensive Efficiency112.9

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

61.7%Effective FG%56.9%

62.6%True Shooting %60.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.8%

23.4%Free Throw Rate70.7%

57.8%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 78.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.