Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.5%Northern Colorado

73.5%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -7.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -277

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 72

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 79

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricCalifornia Baptist

53.7MMH Power Index58.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency106.5

107.6Defensive Efficiency99.0

8.4Net Efficiency7.5

-4.3Strength of Schedule1.8

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

71.1Tempo68.2

56.9%Effective FG%48.8%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.9%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

27.8%Free Throw Rate37.0%

6.0Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–53.7), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.6), strength of schedule (1.8–-4.3), recent form (11.0–10.8).

Northern Colorado COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.0–106.5), net efficiency (8.4–7.5), shooting efficiency (56.9–48.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

79—68

California Baptist

Northern Colorado by 11 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

33-65FG25-65

51.0%FG%38.0%

7-193PT3-22

37.0%3PT%14.0%

6-8FT15-21

75.0%FT%71.0%

45Rebounds33

12Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists10

15Turnovers10

5Steals11

1Blocks4

23Fouls10

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Langston Reynolds	G	33	9-17	0-3	0-1	4	3	2	1	18
Brock Wisne	F	26	7-12	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	0	16
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	32	5-12	1-4	4-5	12	0	1	0	15
Jaron Rillie	Guard	33	4-10	1-3	0-0	6	8	2	0	9
Quinn Denker	G	22	4-5	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Zach Bloch	G	20	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	4	0	0	6
Marcell McCreary	G	12	2-4	2-3	0-0	8	1	0	0	6
Egan Shields	C	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luca Colceag	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	36	9-21	1-6	2-3	2	2	2	0	21
Kendal Coleman	Forward	24	6-10	1-1	2-4	6	1	0	0	15
AJ Braun	Forward	20	3-4	1-1	3-5	6	1	0	1	10
Sam Silverstein	G	21	3-6	0-1	3-4	7	2	2	0	9
Tylen Riley	G	13	3-10	0-5	2-2	2	1	0	2	8
Martel Williams	G	25	1-7	0-4	3-3	4	0	3	1	5
Javonte Johnson	Guard	29	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	2	3	0	0
Adam Moussa	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	13	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Bradey Henige	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

108.4Offensive Efficiency93.3

93.3Defensive Efficiency108.4

15.1Net Efficiency-15.1

56.2%Effective FG%40.8%

57.4%True Shooting %45.3%

20.9%Turnover Rate13.5%

12.3%Free Throw Rate32.3%

29.2%3-Point Rate33.8%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.