Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.2%Idaho State

91.8%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -15.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -1120

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 68

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUCLA 84

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricUCLA

45.9MMH Power Index63

111.0Offensive Efficiency115.9

113.4Defensive Efficiency106.9

-2.4Net Efficiency9.0

0.2Strength of Schedule5.1

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

67.1Tempo66.5

52.2%Effective FG%53.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.4%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

39.1%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–45.9), offensive efficiency (115.9–111.0), defensive efficiency (106.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.0–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.9–30.7), free throw rate (39.1–33.8).

Final

Idaho State

70—84

UCLA

UCLA by 14 • 62.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATUCLA

24-54FG27-47

44.0%FG%57.0%

11-333PT9-14

33.0%3PT%64.0%

11-14FT21-26

79.0%FT%81.0%

23Rebounds25

10Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists16

12Turnovers11

6Steals7

1Blocks—

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Griffin	F	24	5-8	3-6	3-4	2	1	1	0	16
Dylan Darling	G	25	5-10	1-5	2-3	0	3	0	1	13
AJ Burgin	Guard	13	4-8	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Jaedyn Brown	G	16	3-7	2-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	10
Connor Hollenbeck	F	23	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	7
Evan Otten	F	19	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	2	0	6
Blake Daberkow	F	20	2-8	1-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Quentin Meza	G	15	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	1	1	0	2
Jake O'Neil	Guard	26	0-3	0-0	0-1	5	2	1	0	0
Jackson Greene	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Covy Kelly	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sebastian Mack	G	28	3-6	0-1	15-16	0	2	1	21
Tyler Bilodeau	F	30	8-14	4-4	0-0	4	2	0	20
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	28	7-9	2-3	0-0	7	0	1	16
Trent Perry	G	16	2-3	1-1	3-3	0	1	0	8
Kobe Johnson	Guard	15	3-5	1-1	0-0	2	1	2	7
William Kyle III	F	17	2-3	0-0	2-6	4	2	0	6
Skyy Clark	G	26	1-4	0-2	1-1	2	2	3	3
Dylan Andrews	G	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	4	0	3
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	23	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0
Dominick Harris	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Aday Mara	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.6Possessions62.6

111.8Offensive Efficiency134.2

134.2Defensive Efficiency111.8

-22.4Net Efficiency22.4

54.6%Effective FG%67.0%

57.7%True Shooting %70.8%

19.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

25.9%Free Throw Rate55.3%

61.1%3-Point Rate29.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

UCLA won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 62.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.