Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.7%Ohio

73.3%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -275

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 74

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 81

Team Comparison

OhioMetricMiddle Tennessee

48MMH Power Index52.5

109.7Offensive Efficiency109.6

110.7Defensive Efficiency105.7

-1.0Net Efficiency3.9

-0.1Strength of Schedule0.4

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

71.0Tempo68.8

52.0%Effective FG%52.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-0.7Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–48.0), defensive efficiency (105.7–110.7), net efficiency (3.9–-1.0), strength of schedule (0.4–-0.1).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.7–109.6), ball security (15.3–16.7), free throw rate (37.8–33.2).

Final

Ohio

81—83

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 2 • 82.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

27-67FG28-64

40.0%FG%44.0%

6-293PT6-17

21.0%3PT%35.0%

21-29FT21-32

72.0%FT%66.0%

38Rebounds48

13Offensive Rebounds16

20Assists13

13Turnovers20

13Steals7

1Blocks3

25Fouls24

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Brown	G	36	6-12	1-5	6-6	4	2	1	0	19
AJ Clayton	Forward	40	7-17	1-9	3-5	11	3	2	0	18
Jackson Paveletzke	G	38	4-11	0-2	7-10	6	11	2	0	15
Elmore James IV	G	39	3-10	3-7	2-4	3	1	6	0	11
Vic Searls	Forward	22	3-5	0-1	2-2	3	0	2	0	8
Aidan Hadaway	F	24	3-7	0-2	0-1	4	1	0	1	6
Ajay Sheldon	G	18	1-4	1-3	1-1	1	0	0	0	4
Elijah Elliott	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Ayden Evans	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	34	9-18	3-6	3-4	3	3	1	0	24
Essam Mostafa	Forward	34	6-9	0-0	7-10	13	1	1	0	19
Kamari Lands	G	27	4-12	2-6	0-0	2	4	2	0	10
Jlynn Counter	G	22	4-7	0-0	0-1	3	0	1	0	8
Torey Alston	F	24	2-4	0-1	3-4	8	1	1	2	7
Camryn Weston	Guard	30	1-4	0-1	3-6	6	4	1	0	5
Justin Bufford	Guard	18	0-4	0-1	5-7	4	0	0	0	5
Tre Green	G	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jacob Johnson	Guard	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Chris Loofe	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Christian Fussell	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.0Possessions82.0

98.8Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency98.8

-2.4Net Efficiency2.4

44.8%Effective FG%48.4%

50.1%True Shooting %52.4%

16.1%Turnover Rate24.0%

43.3%Free Throw Rate50.0%

43.3%3-Point Rate26.6%

1.54Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 82.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.