Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.5%Miami

16.5%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -506

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 82

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreDrake 72

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricDrake

65.5MMH Power Index46.4

117.8Offensive Efficiency109.5

103.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

14.8Net Efficiency0.4

3.6Strength of Schedule0.3

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

69.2Tempo68.6

55.5%Effective FG%52.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.4%

10.3Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–46.4), offensive efficiency (117.8–109.5), defensive efficiency (103.0–109.1), net efficiency (14.8–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.2).

Final

Miami

69—80

Drake

Drake by 11 • 61.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATDrake

18-44FG26-56

41.0%FG%46.0%

8-213PT4-19

38.0%3PT%21.0%

25-29FT24-28

86.0%FT%86.0%

23Rebounds35

5Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists15

9Turnovers6

3Steals3

1Blocks1

25Fouls23

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nijel Pack	G	38	4-13	2-6	7-8	2	5	1	0	17
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	32	2-7	2-4	6-8	4	0	0	0	12
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	26	4-7	2-3	2-2	1	2	0	0	12
Brandon Johnson	Forward	36	3-4	0-1	1-1	7	0	0	1	7
AJ Staton-McCray	G	13	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Paul Djobet	G	18	0-2	0-1	5-6	3	1	0	0	5
Austin Swartz	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Lynn Kidd	Center	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jalil Bethea	G	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Divine Ugochukwu	G	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bennett Stirtz	G	40	8-17	0-4	5-5	6	6	1	0	21
Daniel Abreu	Forward	39	4-11	1-5	9-10	10	0	0	0	18
Mitch Mascari	Guard	40	4-12	3-8	4-4	2	1	1	0	15
Tavion Banks	G	21	2-6	0-1	5-6	6	1	0	0	9
Nate Ferguson	Forward	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Cam Manyawu	F	8	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	25	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	5	1	0	4
Andrew Alia	G	15	0-1	0-1	1-3	3	1	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

61.6Possessions61.6

112.0Offensive Efficiency129.9

129.9Defensive Efficiency112.0

-17.9Net Efficiency17.9

50.0%Effective FG%50.0%

59.7%True Shooting %57.7%

14.6%Turnover Rate9.8%

65.9%Free Throw Rate50.0%

47.7%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.89Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Drake won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 61.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.