East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%East Carolina

78.2%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -359

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 68

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 78

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricJacksonville State

44.3MMH Power Index51.2

102.0Offensive Efficiency108.2

110.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

-8.5Net Efficiency6.4

2.6Strength of Schedule-2.3

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

70.1Tempo67.2

46.7%Effective FG%51.0%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

40.2%Free Throw Rate44.5%

-5.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–44.3), offensive efficiency (108.2–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.8–110.5), net efficiency (6.4–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–-2.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–31.3).

Final

East Carolina

78—86

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 8 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATJacksonville State

28-66FG28-53

42.0%FG%53.0%

9-273PT7-15

33.0%3PT%47.0%

13-15FT23-31

87.0%FT%74.0%

30Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists13

7Turnovers8

3Steals5

4Blocks3

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
C.J. Walker	Forward	34	6-12	0-2	8-9	7	0	0	1	20
RJ Felton	Guard	34	8-19	3-10	1-1	7	1	1	3	20
Yann Farell	F	22	4-7	4-6	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Jordan Riley	G	31	4-11	0-2	1-1	4	0	1	0	9
Jayshayne Woodard	G	19	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Julien Soumaoro	G	10	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Cam Hayes	Guard	30	0-6	0-3	3-4	3	4	0	0	3
Trevion LaBeaux	G	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Cyr Malonga	C	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jao Ituka	G	29	5-10	2-6	6-8	3	2	1	0	18
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	40	4-10	1-2	7-11	6	6	1	0	16
Koree Cotton	G	21	5-9	3-3	2-2	1	0	1	0	15
Michael Houge	F	21	6-11	0-1	3-3	6	1	0	0	15
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	33	3-4	0-0	5-7	6	0	1	0	11
Jamar Franklin	G	23	2-5	1-3	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Mason Nicholson	F	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	2	4
Iaroslav Niagu	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

113.2Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency113.2

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

49.2%Effective FG%59.4%

53.3%True Shooting %63.5%

10.0%Turnover Rate11.8%

22.7%Free Throw Rate58.5%

40.9%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.29Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.