Bradley

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%Bradley

48.8%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBradley -105

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBradley 74

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Team Comparison

BradleyMetricTexas State

54.4MMH Power Index49.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency107.7

105.3Defensive Efficiency103.4

5.2Net Efficiency4.3

1.6Strength of Schedule-4.7

0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

69.9Tempo68.6

51.2%Effective FG%51.3%

13.9%Turnover Rate18.4%

27.7%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

37.2%Free Throw Rate36.0%

3.6Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bradley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBradley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–107.7), net efficiency (5.2–4.3), strength of schedule (1.6–-4.7).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–105.3), recent form (9.1–0.9), shooting efficiency (51.3–51.2).

Final

Bradley

82—68

Texas State

Bradley by 14 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BradleyTEAM STATTexas State

27-52FG23-57

52.0%FG%40.0%

12-273PT2-9

44.0%3PT%22.0%

16-26FT20-27

62.0%FT%74.0%

33Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists9

9Turnovers12

6Steals6

3Blocks2

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Davis	Guard	29	6-10	4-5	5-5	3	0	0	2	21
Darius Hannah	Forward	33	6-7	3-4	1-3	7	1	1	1	16
Zek Montgomery	Guard	33	5-11	1-5	2-3	3	2	2	0	13
Duke Deen	Guard	31	4-13	3-9	1-2	4	8	0	0	12
Almar Atlason	F	23	2-4	1-2	1-2	1	1	0	0	6
Ahmet Jonovic	C	18	2-3	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	0	6
Jaquan Johnson	G	13	2-2	0-0	1-4	2	4	2	0	5
Connor Dillon	Guard	16	0-2	0-2	3-4	0	1	1	0	3
Corey Thomas	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Gumbs	G	39	7-16	0-1	5-8	4	3	2	0	19
Tylan Pope	Forward	27	4-10	0-0	7-7	7	0	0	0	15
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	34	5-13	1-2	3-6	5	3	1	1	14
Joshua O'Garro	G	19	2-5	0-2	2-2	7	1	0	1	6
Christian Turner	Forward	33	2-6	1-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	5
Austin Green	F	17	2-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	5
Drue Drinnon	Guard	27	1-3	0-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	4
Bessanty Saragba	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Jones	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

120.4Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency120.4

20.6Net Efficiency-20.6

63.5%Effective FG%42.1%

63.7%True Shooting %48.7%

13.4%Turnover Rate17.4%

50.0%Free Throw Rate47.4%

51.9%3-Point Rate15.8%

1.89Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Bradley won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.