Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.0%Toledo

17.0%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -9.6

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -488

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 84

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreStetson 75

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricStetson

58.8MMH Power Index40

116.0Offensive Efficiency107.2

109.6Defensive Efficiency115.9

6.4Net Efficiency-8.7

2.3Strength of Schedule-1.0

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

69.8Tempo68.7

55.1%Effective FG%53.8%

14.6%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate33.6%

4.5Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–40.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–107.2), defensive efficiency (109.6–115.9), net efficiency (6.4–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (33.6–30.3).

Final

Toledo

103—78

Stetson

Toledo by 25 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATStetson

41-72FG27-57

57.0%FG%47.0%

13-263PT8-20

50.0%3PT%40.0%

8-11FT16-23

73.0%FT%70.0%

28Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds12

18Assists18

5Turnovers17

10Steals3

1Blocks2

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	25	9-13	1-2	2-3	2	6	2	0	21
Seth Hubbard	G	25	7-13	3-5	0-0	4	3	2	1	17
Sam Lewis	G	22	6-10	3-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	15
Isaiah Adams	Guard	26	5-7	2-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	12
Javan Simmons	F	25	4-8	0-0	3-3	5	3	0	0	11
Bryce Ford	G	20	4-5	2-3	0-0	4	2	2	0	10
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	19	2-4	1-3	2-2	2	1	1	0	7
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	17	2-5	0-1	0-2	1	0	1	0	4
Grgur Brcic	C	8	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Jaylen Murphy	Guard	5	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tyler Ode	G	8	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Massey	Forward	25	4-7	2-3	6-6	6	0	0	0	16
Mehki Ellison	G	22	6-11	0-1	2-5	0	4	1	0	14
Abramo Canka	Guard	28	4-9	0-3	4-4	8	6	0	0	12
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	29	3-9	2-4	2-4	4	4	0	1	10
Treyton Thompson	Forward	24	4-6	0-1	2-2	3	2	1	1	10
Tristan Gross	G	27	3-6	2-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Jordan Wood	Forward	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	5
Alex Doyle	F	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Finley Sheridan	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	0	0
Landen Babusiak	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

139.9Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency139.9

34.0Net Efficiency-34.0

66.0%Effective FG%54.4%

66.7%True Shooting %57.4%

6.7%Turnover Rate23.3%

15.3%Free Throw Rate40.4%

36.1%3-Point Rate35.1%

3.60Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Toledo won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.