Southeast Missouri State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Southeast Missouri State

68.5%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -217

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 73

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 79

Team Comparison

Southeast Missouri StateMetricCentral Arkansas

51.6MMH Power Index54

105.3Offensive Efficiency113.9

99.8Defensive Efficiency105.2

5.5Net Efficiency8.7

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.9

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

70.8Tempo71.0

50.6%Effective FG%54.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

39.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–51.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–105.3), net efficiency (8.7–5.5), recent form (9.8–6.4).

Southeast Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.8–105.2), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.9), free throw rate (39.3–30.7).

Final

Southeast Missouri State

77—73

Central Arkansas

Southeast Missouri State by 4 • 78.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southeast Missouri StateTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

27-68FG24-62

40.0%FG%39.0%

12-353PT3-21

34.0%3PT%14.0%

11-17FT22-32

65.0%FT%69.0%

42Rebounds43

11Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists8

13Turnovers13

5Steals11

2Blocks2

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
BJ Ward	G	30	6-13	4-9	3-3	1	2	0	0	19
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	29	7-20	3-10	2-2	8	2	0	0	19
Rob Martin	G	38	5-14	1-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Damarion Walkup	Guard	29	4-8	3-7	0-0	2	2	0	1	11
Brendan Terry	F	20	1-3	0-0	2-4	2	1	2	0	4
TJ Biel	F	22	0-2	0-1	3-5	4	1	0	1	3
Troy Cole Jr.	G	17	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Marqueas Bell	G	10	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Elliot Lowndes	F	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	8	0	1	0	2
David Idada	C	14	1-1	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	0	2

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Fagbemi	G	41	4-11	1-5	11-12	6	4	3	0	20
Elias Cato	Forward	38	8-16	0-2	4-7	7	1	2	0	20
Layne Taylor	G	42	7-19	2-7	1-2	9	1	3	0	17
Mike Evbagharu	G	31	2-5	0-1	4-7	7	1	1	0	8
Jabari West Jr.	Forward	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Cole McCormick	F	28	0-4	0-4	2-4	3	1	1	0	2
Nehemiah Turner	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ben Fox	Guard	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Diogo Seixas	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.7Possessions78.7

97.8Offensive Efficiency92.8

92.8Defensive Efficiency97.8

5.1Net Efficiency-5.1

48.5%Effective FG%41.1%

50.6%True Shooting %47.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

25.0%Free Throw Rate51.6%

51.5%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Southeast Missouri State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 78.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.