Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.4%Air Force

98.6%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -29.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -7043

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 59

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreCalifornia 88

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricCalifornia

23MMH Power Index56.5

91.3Offensive Efficiency111.8

118.5Defensive Efficiency104.8

-27.2Net Efficiency7.0

6.2Strength of Schedule2.8

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

67.4Tempo69.9

49.0%Effective FG%52.6%

21.9%Turnover Rate14.9%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

35.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-18.3Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (111.8–91.3), defensive efficiency (104.8–118.5), net efficiency (7.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–2.8).

Final

Air Force

69—78

California

California by 9 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATCalifornia

26-51FG28-52

51.0%FG%54.0%

11-243PT4-13

46.0%3PT%31.0%

6-11FT18-27

55.0%FT%67.0%

24Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists8

16Turnovers15

8Steals9

4Blocks4

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	40	9-13	5-8	0-1	3	3	1	0	23
Luke Kearney	F	20	5-9	2-6	2-3	2	0	0	0	14
Wesley Celichowski	C	28	5-8	2-3	0-1	1	2	1	0	12
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	32	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	7
Kyle Marshall	G	33	2-6	1-2	0-0	5	3	3	1	5
Byron Brown	Guard	28	1-6	0-0	3-4	1	1	1	3	5
Caleb Walker	F	12	1-2	0-1	1-2	4	1	1	0	3
Sam Duskin	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	26	8-12	2-3	5-7	4	1	1	0	23
Andrej Stojakovic	G	35	8-19	2-7	3-5	6	0	0	2	21
Rytis Petraitis	F	36	4-6	0-0	4-5	5	2	4	0	12
Lee Dort	F	12	3-4	0-0	3-5	4	0	0	0	9
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	22	3-4	0-0	2-3	6	1	1	2	8
Mady Sissoko	Center	22	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Christian Tucker	Guard	34	0-4	0-3	1-2	1	2	1	0	1
Spencer Mahoney	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Devin Curtis	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

104.5Offensive Efficiency118.2

118.2Defensive Efficiency104.5

-13.6Net Efficiency13.6

61.8%Effective FG%57.7%

61.4%True Shooting %60.2%

24.5%Turnover Rate22.4%

21.6%Free Throw Rate51.9%

47.1%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

California won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.