East Carolina

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%East Carolina

50.8%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -103

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 76

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreStetson 77

Team Comparison

East CarolinaMetricStetson

44.3MMH Power Index40

102.0Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.5Defensive Efficiency115.9

-8.5Net Efficiency-8.7

2.6Strength of Schedule-1.0

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

70.1Tempo68.7

46.7%Effective FG%53.8%

17.4%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

40.2%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-5.9Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.3–40.0), defensive efficiency (110.5–115.9), net efficiency (-8.5–-8.7), strength of schedule (2.6–-1.0).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–102.0), shooting efficiency (53.8–46.7).

Final

East Carolina

71—64

Stetson

East Carolina by 7 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East CarolinaTEAM STATStetson

20-55FG20-44

36.0%FG%45.0%

3-143PT10-25

21.0%3PT%40.0%

28-33FT14-25

85.0%FT%56.0%

39Rebounds28

16Offensive Rebounds5

5Assists12

12Turnovers18

11Steals4

2Blocks2

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
RJ Felton	Guard	39	6-17	0-6	9-10	8	1	1	2	21
Jordan Riley	G	34	4-11	1-2	5-6	5	2	2	0	14
Cam Hayes	Guard	33	3-7	2-4	5-6	0	2	5	0	13
C.J. Walker	Forward	30	3-9	0-0	5-6	5	0	0	0	11
Jayshayne Woodard	G	19	2-6	0-0	2-3	7	0	1	0	6
Trevion LaBeaux	G	28	1-2	0-1	2-2	7	0	1	0	4
Yann Farell	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tybo Bailey	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Cyr Malonga	C	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mehki Ellison	G	34	6-11	3-7	0-3	0	3	2	0	15
Abramo Canka	Guard	30	4-8	4-6	2-3	3	1	0	0	14
Jordan Wood	Forward	24	4-6	1-3	3-5	4	2	1	0	12
Treyton Thompson	Forward	14	2-3	1-1	4-8	3	3	0	0	9
Josh Massey	Forward	30	2-5	1-2	3-4	5	1	0	1	8
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	32	1-5	0-2	2-2	5	1	0	0	4
Tristan Gross	G	26	1-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Alex Doyle	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Finley Sheridan	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency94.4

94.4Defensive Efficiency104.7

10.3Net Efficiency-10.3

39.1%Effective FG%56.8%

50.2%True Shooting %57.3%

18.0%Turnover Rate26.1%

60.0%Free Throw Rate56.8%

25.5%3-Point Rate56.8%

0.42Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

East Carolina won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.