Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.9%Middle Tennessee

91.1%South Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Florida -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Florida -1024

South Florida

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 71

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreSouth Florida 87

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricSouth Florida

52.5MMH Power Index68.8

109.6Offensive Efficiency117.3

105.7Defensive Efficiency101.6

3.9Net Efficiency15.7

0.4Strength of Schedule1.8

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency19.7

68.8Tempo74.5

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate14.9%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %38.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate41.8%

2.7Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Florida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.8–52.5), offensive efficiency (117.3–109.6), defensive efficiency (101.6–105.7), net efficiency (15.7–3.9).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.2–51.0).

Final

Middle Tennessee

95—88

South Florida

Middle Tennessee by 7 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATSouth Florida

34-59FG27-53

58.0%FG%51.0%

12-233PT10-26

52.0%3PT%38.0%

15-21FT24-27

71.0%FT%89.0%

30Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists13

12Turnovers13

7Steals8

2Blocks3

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	35	9-12	4-6	4-4	3	2	1	1	26
Essam Mostafa	Forward	34	7-13	0-1	6-7	10	2	2	1	20
Kamari Lands	G	28	6-12	4-8	1-2	4	2	2	0	17
Justin Bufford	Guard	40	3-8	2-3	2-4	5	1	1	0	10
Torey Alston	F	17	3-3	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Camryn Weston	Guard	23	3-6	1-4	0-0	1	5	0	0	7
Chris Loofe	F	6	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Jlynn Counter	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	5	1	0	2
Jacob Johnson	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

South Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Reid	G	31	6-11	3-6	3-3	4	4	3	0	18
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	22	6-6	0-0	5-6	9	3	0	0	17
Kasen Jennings	G	27	5-7	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	13
Jimmie Williams	G	14	3-6	2-5	4-4	1	0	2	0	12
Brandon Stroud	Guard	24	2-2	1-1	4-6	1	2	2	0	9
Kobe Knox	G	30	3-9	0-4	2-2	0	1	0	2	8
De'Ante Green	F	17	1-5	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
CJ Brown	G	17	0-2	0-0	4-4	2	2	1	0	4
Quincy Ademokoya	Guard	18	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

134.9Offensive Efficiency125.0

125.0Defensive Efficiency134.9

9.9Net Efficiency-9.9

67.8%Effective FG%60.4%

68.9%True Shooting %66.8%

17.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

35.6%Free Throw Rate50.9%

39.0%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.