Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.1%Illinois State

86.9%McNeese

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMcNeese -12.3

PROJECTED TOTAL143.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMcNeese -663

McNeese

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 65

Projected Total143.0

Projected ScoreMcNeese 78

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricMcNeese

54.3MMH Power Index66.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency117.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency98.3

9.2Net Efficiency19.1

1.0Strength of Schedule-1.6

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency15.5

67.5Tempo66.0

54.3%Effective FG%52.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %37.1%

32.0%Free Throw Rate37.7%

6.2Average Margin12.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

McNeese HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMcNeese holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–54.3), offensive efficiency (117.4–110.6), defensive efficiency (98.3–101.4), net efficiency (19.1–9.2).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.0–-1.6), shooting efficiency (54.3–52.2).

Final

Illinois State

68—76

McNeese

McNeese by 8 • 61.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATMcNeese

22-50FG24-54

44.0%FG%44.0%

11-263PT8-20

42.0%3PT%40.0%

13-21FT20-26

62.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists10

7Turnovers7

3Steals5

3Blocks3

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Pence	G	38	5-9	2-4	2-3	6	3	1	1	14
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	28	5-11	3-8	0-2	4	2	0	0	13
Landon Wolf	G	34	4-9	3-6	0-1	4	3	0	0	11
Dalton Banks	Guard	34	3-7	1-3	3-5	5	4	1	1	10
Chase Walker	F	28	3-8	0-0	4-6	5	2	0	0	10
Johnny Kinziger	G	28	2-6	2-5	4-4	1	0	1	1	10
Caden Boser	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Daugherty	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Barnes	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

McNeese

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javohn Garcia	G	32	5-12	2-3	4-4	7	2	0	0	16
Brandon Murray	Not Available	33	4-10	0-1	5-7	3	3	0	0	13
Sincere Parker	G	19	4-8	2-5	3-4	2	0	1	0	13
DJ Richards Jr.	G	17	2-7	2-6	4-4	3	0	0	0	10
Christian Shumate	Forward	34	4-7	1-3	0-2	7	0	0	2	9
Joe Charles	Not Available	35	3-6	1-2	1-2	6	0	1	1	8
Omar Cooper	Not Available	16	1-2	0-0	1-1	3	5	3	0	3
Bryant Selebangue	F	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Quadir Copeland	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

61.7Possessions61.7

110.2Offensive Efficiency123.2

123.2Defensive Efficiency110.2

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

55.0%Effective FG%51.9%

56.7%True Shooting %57.3%

11.5%Turnover Rate11.2%

42.0%Free Throw Rate48.1%

52.0%3-Point Rate37.0%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

McNeese won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 61.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.