William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.0%William & Mary

77.0%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.7

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -335

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 78

Projected Total164.7

Projected ScoreNC State 87

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricNC State

53.8MMH Power Index60.1

112.5Offensive Efficiency118.4

105.2Defensive Efficiency108.6

7.3Net Efficiency9.8

-1.5Strength of Schedule6.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

73.9Tempo70.2

55.3%Effective FG%55.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate35.7%

5.4Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–53.8), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.5), net efficiency (9.8–7.3), strength of schedule (6.4–-1.5).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–108.6), recent form (3.5–-11.9), shooting efficiency (55.3–55.1).

Final

William & Mary

61—84

NC State

NC State by 23 • 75.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATNC State

22-60FG31-64

37.0%FG%48.0%

7-313PT6-19

23.0%3PT%32.0%

10-12FT16-23

83.0%FT%70.0%

38Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists17

21Turnovers11

6Steals13

3Blocks6

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Collier	F	28	9-16	1-1	6-7	7	0	1	1	25
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	29	5-13	3-11	0-0	5	0	1	0	13
Isaiah Mbeng	G	24	2-7	1-5	0-0	3	3	2	0	5
Kyle Frazier	G	15	1-5	0-4	2-2	2	1	1	0	4
Keller Boothby	Forward	24	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Malachi Ndur	Forward	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Kyle Pulliam	G	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Matteus Case	Guard	17	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Chase Lowe	G	16	1-4	0-0	0-1	6	1	0	0	2
Miles Hicks	G	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Finn Lally	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Ryan Jackson Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Kinkade	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	28	7-13	1-3	4-5	4	2	2	0	19
Jayden Taylor	Guard	31	5-10	1-3	1-2	5	3	2	0	12
Dontrez Styles	Guard	26	4-8	2-5	2-3	4	2	0	0	12
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	22	4-8	0-0	3-4	7	3	2	5	11
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	17	4-8	1-1	1-3	9	0	1	0	10
Michael O'Connell	Guard	30	3-7	0-3	1-2	2	3	2	0	7
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	11	2-5	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	1	5
Breon Pass	Guard	15	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	2	0	4
Bryce Heard	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
KJ Keatts	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Trey Parker	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	0
Jordan Snell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.3Possessions75.3

81.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency81.0

-30.5Net Efficiency30.5

42.5%Effective FG%53.1%

46.4%True Shooting %56.1%

27.7%Turnover Rate14.7%

20.0%Free Throw Rate35.9%

51.7%3-Point Rate29.7%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

NC State won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 75.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.