North Carolina Central

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%North Carolina Central

70.2%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgia State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgia State -236

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 71

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 77

Team Comparison

North Carolina CentralMetricGeorgia State

35.8MMH Power Index38.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency101.3

110.2Defensive Efficiency107.5

-5.3Net Efficiency-6.2

-8.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

-5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

68.5Tempo69.5

49.8%Effective FG%45.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.7%Free Throw Rate37.4%

-3.6Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina Central HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina Central holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (104.9–101.3), net efficiency (-5.3–-6.2), recent form (-5.4–-10.9), shooting efficiency (49.8–45.3).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (38.9–35.8), defensive efficiency (107.5–110.2), strength of schedule (-1.7–-8.0).

Final

North Carolina Central

79—93

Georgia State

Georgia State by 14 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Carolina CentralTEAM STATGeorgia State

28-65FG33-47

43.0%FG%70.0%

9-233PT9-17

39.0%3PT%53.0%

14-16FT18-25

88.0%FT%72.0%

21Rebounds32

14Offensive Rebounds8

18Assists15

6Turnovers15

7Steals2

1Blocks6

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Po'Boigh King	G	27	7-14	3-6	2-2	1	3	1	0	19
Keishon Porter	G	26	4-9	1-3	4-5	6	2	0	0	13
Floyd Rideau Jr.	Guard	21	4-7	3-5	2-2	1	2	1	0	13
Perry Smith Jr.	C	32	5-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Timmy Adedire	Forward	39	3-9	2-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Dionte Johnson	G	29	2-10	0-3	3-3	3	8	1	0	7
Isaac Parson	Guard	11	2-3	0-0	3-4	0	1	1	0	7
Jaqai Murray	F	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Aquan Smart	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Toneari Lane	G	36	9-12	4-6	1-1	3	1	0	0	23
Nick McMullen	Forward	36	9-12	1-2	1-3	11	0	0	0	20
Zarique Nutter	F	24	7-9	0-1	6-10	6	3	1	0	20
Jelani Hamilton	G	21	4-7	3-5	4-4	3	3	0	0	15
Malachi Brown	G	33	2-4	1-3	4-5	1	7	1	0	9
Cesare Edwards	Center	32	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	5	6
Clash Peters	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Malik Ferguson	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

121.0Offensive Efficiency142.4

142.4Defensive Efficiency121.0

-21.4Net Efficiency21.4

50.0%Effective FG%79.8%

54.4%True Shooting %79.0%

9.3%Turnover Rate22.8%

24.6%Free Throw Rate53.2%

35.4%3-Point Rate36.2%

3.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.