Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Chicago State

80.7%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana State -418

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 67

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreIndiana State 79

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricIndiana State

36.1MMH Power Index44.4

99.4Offensive Efficiency104.7

114.9Defensive Efficiency106.0

-15.5Net Efficiency-1.3

0.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

66.2Tempo70.3

45.6%Effective FG%53.6%

15.8%Turnover Rate19.5%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate28.8%

-10.3Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–36.1), offensive efficiency (104.7–99.4), defensive efficiency (106.0–114.9), net efficiency (-1.3–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–0.1), recent form (-4.3–-5.2), ball security (15.8–19.5).

Final

Chicago State

61—97

Indiana State

Indiana State by 36 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATIndiana State

24-68FG34-60

35.0%FG%57.0%

4-263PT15-33

15.0%3PT%45.0%

9-14FT14-21

64.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds46

12Offensive Rebounds11

4Assists20

11Turnovers13

8Steals8

1Blocks2

19Fouls11

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Allen	G	23	6-14	1-4	1-1	8	0	1	0	14
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	23	6-11	1-2	0-0	8	1	0	0	13
Gabe Spinelli	G	27	3-7	0-2	1-3	2	1	2	0	7
Jalen Forrest	G	19	1-7	0-4	5-8	2	0	0	0	7
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	19	2-6	0-2	2-2	4	1	1	0	6
Noble Crawford	Forward	18	2-7	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Greg Spate	G	5	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dailliss Cox	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Matthew Robinson	Guard	28	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	1	2
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
CJ Delancy	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
Michael Brown	Forward	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joe Spinelli	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Alex Raiford	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	31	7-10	4-6	2-4	6	3	3	0	20
Markus Harding	C	25	6-8	1-2	3-5	11	3	0	2	16
Jahni Summers	G	28	5-10	3-5	0-0	5	2	1	0	13
Aaron Gray	Forward	18	5-8	2-5	0-0	4	1	1	0	12
Bruno Alocen	G	23	3-7	2-5	1-2	5	3	2	0	9
K'mani Doughty	Guard	18	2-5	1-3	4-4	1	1	0	0	9
Cooper Bean	G	4	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Camp Wagner	G	21	1-6	0-5	2-2	2	1	0	0	4
Jayan Walker	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Jaden Daughtry	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Tyran Cook	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	3	2	0	0	2
Merritt Alderink	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-1	4	2	0	0	2
Josiah LeGree	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

83.7Offensive Efficiency133.1

133.1Defensive Efficiency83.7

-49.4Net Efficiency49.4

38.2%Effective FG%69.2%

40.9%True Shooting %69.3%

14.9%Turnover Rate18.1%

20.6%Free Throw Rate35.0%

38.2%3-Point Rate55.0%

0.36Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 36 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.