Morgan State

14-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Morgan State

87.0%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -669

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorgan State 72

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreBuffalo 85

Team Comparison

Morgan StateMetricBuffalo

37.2MMH Power Index49.7

105.1Offensive Efficiency114.9

109.3Defensive Efficiency112.2

-4.2Net Efficiency2.7

-9.5Strength of Schedule0.0

2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

71.6Tempo67.9

48.6%Effective FG%56.1%

17.5%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-3.0Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–37.2), offensive efficiency (114.9–105.1), net efficiency (2.7–-4.2), strength of schedule (0.0–-9.5).

Morgan State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.3–112.2), recent form (2.1–-5.9), offensive rebounding (31.3–27.6).

Final

Morgan State

73—82

Buffalo

Buffalo by 9 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morgan StateTEAM STATBuffalo

31-68FG31-55

46.0%FG%56.0%

10-213PT5-16

48.0%3PT%31.0%

1-2FT15-25

50.0%FT%60.0%

38Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists17

15Turnovers10

6Steals10

3Blocks4

19Fouls9

Player Box Score

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kameron Hobbs	Guard	29	8-14	4-7	0-0	2	1	2	0	20
Amahrie Simpkins	Guard	30	7-10	1-1	1-2	7	3	2	0	16
Wynston Tabbs	Guard	24	4-14	3-5	0-0	5	2	2	0	11
Daniel Akitoby	F	29	4-10	0-0	0-0	8	0	0	2	8
Rob Lawson	G	26	3-8	1-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	7
Jaden Martin	Forward	14	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	1	6
Demajion Topps	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tytan Newton	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Will Thomas	Forward	18	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Kiran Oliver	G	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Marland Harris	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Dunn	G	33	9-13	2-4	2-3	6	8	4	1	22
Brayden Jackson	G	27	8-11	0-1	2-5	3	1	1	1	18
Ryan Sabol	G	36	3-6	3-4	3-3	2	0	0	0	12
Noah Batchelor	G	34	3-7	0-3	1-2	6	1	1	1	7
Ben Michaels	F	26	2-6	0-2	3-4	2	3	1	0	7
Tim Oboh	C	12	3-5	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	6
Bryson Wilson	G	6	1-2	0-0	4-4	3	0	1	0	6
Kavon Bradford	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Frederiks Meinarts	Center	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	2	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

105.8Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency105.8

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

52.9%Effective FG%60.9%

52.9%True Shooting %61.3%

21.8%Turnover Rate14.5%

2.9%Free Throw Rate45.5%

30.9%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.