Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.7%Texas State

46.3%Princeton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.9

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -116

Princeton

9-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total142.9

Projected ScorePrinceton 71

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricPrinceton

49.4MMH Power Index43.5

107.7Offensive Efficiency105.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.3

4.3Net Efficiency-5.2

-4.7Strength of Schedule1.7

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.2

68.6Tempo65.2

51.3%Effective FG%50.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %27.5%

36.0%Free Throw Rate35.0%

2.9Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–43.5), offensive efficiency (107.7–105.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.3), net efficiency (4.3–-5.2).

Princeton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-4.7), ball security (16.9–18.4).

Final

Texas State

83—80

Princeton

Texas State by 3 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATPrinceton

30-54FG27-59

56.0%FG%46.0%

6-153PT12-29

40.0%3PT%41.0%

17-23FT14-17

74.0%FT%82.0%

34Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds11

15Assists15

13Turnovers9

8Steals8

5Blocks—

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	33	9-14	1-3	8-10	7	3	3	1	27
Kaden Gumbs	G	36	6-12	1-3	4-4	5	7	4	0	17
Tylan Pope	Forward	30	6-8	0-1	2-4	8	0	0	2	14
Joshua O'Garro	G	33	3-7	2-3	1-2	6	0	1	1	9
Christian Turner	Forward	31	3-5	1-2	0-1	4	3	0	1	7
Drue Drinnon	Guard	27	2-7	1-3	2-2	0	2	0	0	7
Nate Deer	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Austin Green	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bessanty Saragba	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Princeton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Xaivian Lee	G	36	11-20	2-5	6-9	6	5	2	30
Blake Peters	Guard	30	5-11	5-11	2-2	0	1	2	17
Dalen Davis	G	32	4-7	3-6	0-0	1	2	1	11
Caden Pierce	Forward	36	2-6	0-0	4-4	6	3	1	8
Philip Byriel	Forward	24	2-6	1-3	2-2	6	2	2	7
Jack Stanton	G	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Malik Abdullahi	F	13	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Jackson Hicke	G	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	2
Peyton Seals	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0
Jacob Huggins	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jack Scott	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

125.8Offensive Efficiency121.2

121.2Defensive Efficiency125.8

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

61.1%Effective FG%55.9%

63.9%True Shooting %59.6%

19.4%Turnover Rate13.8%

42.6%Free Throw Rate28.8%

27.8%3-Point Rate49.2%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Texas State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.