Incarnate Word

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Incarnate Word

41.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -142

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 76

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 74

Team Comparison

Incarnate WordMetricNorthern Arizona

44.6MMH Power Index36.9

112.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

111.2Defensive Efficiency114.8

0.8Net Efficiency-7.7

-3.6Strength of Schedule-1.8

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

66.3Tempo66.6

52.2%Effective FG%53.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.8%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

34.0%Free Throw Rate33.6%

0.5Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (112.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (111.2–114.8), net efficiency (0.8–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.2), ball security (15.8–16.8).

Final

Incarnate Word

74—75

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 1 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Incarnate WordTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

27-65FG24-62

42.0%FG%39.0%

11-223PT9-27

50.0%3PT%33.0%

9-15FT18-28

60.0%FT%64.0%

36Rebounds46

14Offensive Rebounds20

17Assists18

8Turnovers9

5Steals5

3Blocks4

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Hayman	Forward	35	5-14	2-3	3-4	4	2	1	0	15
Jordan Pyke	F	30	6-10	2-2	0-0	5	4	1	0	14
Shon Robinson	Forward	20	5-7	3-3	0-1	4	1	0	1	13
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	37	4-16	2-4	2-4	4	10	2	0	12
Davion Bailey	G	35	3-9	2-7	2-2	3	0	0	0	10
Jayden Williams	C	10	3-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	2	8
Marcus Glover	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
TJ Ford Jr.	Point Guard	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Harrison Reede	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Akpovwa	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Mintautas Mockus	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Jackson	G	37	7-9	1-1	8-10	4	2	1	0	23
Carson Towt	F	36	9-14	0-0	3-8	11	4	2	2	21
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	39	3-19	3-12	5-6	6	6	0	0	14
Ryan Abelman	G	26	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	1	9
Oakland Fort	G	32	2-8	2-5	0-0	6	4	1	0	6
Jack Wistrcill	Forward	8	0-2	0-1	2-4	2	0	0	0	2
Monty Bowser	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Dillan Baker	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Ali Ragab	Center	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Diego Campisano	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

113.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

115.0Defensive Efficiency113.5

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

50.0%Effective FG%46.0%

51.3%True Shooting %49.8%

12.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

23.1%Free Throw Rate45.2%

33.8%3-Point Rate43.5%

2.13Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.