UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.0%UC Riverside

89.0%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -809

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 68

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreColorado State 82

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricColorado State

41.2MMH Power Index55.4

103.1Offensive Efficiency117.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

-7.0Net Efficiency7.2

0.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

70.7Tempo64.7

49.8%Effective FG%58.6%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.3%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

35.2%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-4.9Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–41.2), offensive efficiency (117.1–103.1), defensive efficiency (109.9–110.1), net efficiency (7.2–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–0.4).

Final

UC Riverside

77—75

Colorado State

UC Riverside by 2 • 77.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATColorado State

27-65FG25-62

42.0%FG%40.0%

10-243PT10-33

42.0%3PT%30.0%

13-18FT15-25

72.0%FT%60.0%

51Rebounds30

15Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists18

18Turnovers9

2Steals3

2Blocks8

27Fouls19

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	33	11-20	3-7	6-8	2	6	1	0	31
Nate Pickens	G	35	5-11	3-5	0-2	7	0	0	0	13
Isaiah Moses	G	37	4-15	2-6	2-2	3	4	0	0	12
Rikus Schulte	F	29	3-5	1-1	0-0	8	0	0	0	7
Joel Armotrading	C	15	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	1	0	1	6
Kaleb Smith	F	30	1-7	0-1	3-4	3	0	1	0	5
Niyi Olabode	Guard	20	1-2	1-2	0-0	6	1	0	0	3
Jack Whitbourn	C	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	0
Parker Strauss	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	27	6-11	3-7	6-7	7	2	0	1	21
Nique Clifford	Guard	38	5-11	2-5	1-2	7	3	1	2	13
Kyle Jorgensen	F	19	4-7	2-5	3-3	1	1	0	0	13
Jalen Lake	Guard	41	4-12	1-7	1-2	2	2	1	3	10
Keshawn Williams	G	25	4-8	1-3	1-4	3	1	0	0	10
Ethan Morton	Guard	38	1-5	0-1	2-5	3	6	0	2	4
Kyan Evans	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Nikola Djapa	C	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Bowen Born	Guard	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.3Possessions77.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency97.0

97.0Defensive Efficiency99.6

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

49.2%Effective FG%48.4%

52.3%True Shooting %50.8%

23.5%Turnover Rate11.6%

27.7%Free Throw Rate40.3%

36.9%3-Point Rate53.2%

0.78Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.