UAB

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%UAB

55.5%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -125

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUAB 73

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 76

Team Comparison

UABMetricIllinois State

56.9MMH Power Index54.3

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

102.9Defensive Efficiency101.4

7.6Net Efficiency9.2

0.4Strength of Schedule1.0

2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

71.7Tempo67.5

48.8%Effective FG%54.3%

12.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

36.9%Free Throw Rate32.0%

5.4Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–102.9), net efficiency (9.2–7.6), strength of schedule (1.0–0.4).

UAB COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.9–54.3), recent form (2.9–-4.4), ball security (12.4–16.8).

Final

UAB

83—84

Illinois State

Illinois State by 1 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UABTEAM STATIllinois State

31-56FG30-53

55.0%FG%57.0%

8-193PT11-27

42.0%3PT%41.0%

13-19FT13-17

68.0%FT%76.0%

23Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds5

19Assists14

16Turnovers16

7Steals10

1Blocks1

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

UAB

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alejandro Vasquez	Guard	30	8-12	3-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	19
Butta Johnson	G	34	6-12	1-5	5-5	2	1	0	0	18
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	33	4-10	1-2	5-8	4	7	1	0	14
Bradley Ezewiro	Forward	17	4-4	0-0	1-4	2	0	0	0	9
Tyren Moore	G	20	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Christian Coleman	G	21	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	4	2	0	6
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	17	3-6	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Tony Toney	Guard	22	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	3
Will Shaver	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	1	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnny Kinziger	G	39	8-12	2-5	3-3	2	3	2	1	21
Chase Walker	F	23	5-7	1-1	5-8	8	1	1	0	16
Dalton Banks	Guard	34	4-7	0-1	2-2	3	5	2	0	10
Ty Pence	G	29	3-7	1-4	3-3	4	3	2	0	10
Jack Daugherty	F	14	3-6	3-6	0-0	2	0	1	0	9
Landon Wolf	G	25	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	1	1	0	8
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	19	3-4	1-2	0-1	2	1	1	0	7
Caden Boser	Forward	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Cameron Barnes	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

112.0Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency112.0

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

62.5%Effective FG%67.0%

63.8%True Shooting %68.8%

21.0%Turnover Rate22.2%

33.9%Free Throw Rate32.1%

33.9%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.19Assist / Turnover0.88

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.