Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.2%Bowling Green

35.8%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL161.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -179

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 84

Projected Total161.6

Projected ScoreBellarmine 78

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricBellarmine

54.7MMH Power Index44.9

112.6Offensive Efficiency119.6

99.1Defensive Efficiency122.1

13.5Net Efficiency-2.5

-4.7Strength of Schedule-2.8

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

72.2Tempo66.9

53.4%Effective FG%60.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

38.7%Free Throw Rate35.3%

9.8Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–44.9), defensive efficiency (99.1–122.1), net efficiency (13.5–-2.5), recent form (1.4–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–112.6), strength of schedule (-2.8–-4.7), shooting efficiency (60.0–53.4).

Final

Bowling Green

68—80

Bellarmine

Bellarmine by 12 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATBellarmine

23-55FG26-52

42.0%FG%50.0%

10-263PT8-20

38.0%3PT%40.0%

12-16FT20-22

75.0%FT%91.0%

25Rebounds32

5Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists12

11Turnovers10

6Steals6

1Blocks4

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrick Butler	Guard	31	8-14	5-9	0-1	4	0	0	0	21
Javontae Campbell	G	27	9-12	2-3	1-2	0	1	2	0	21
Youssef Khayat	Forward	22	3-6	1-2	4-4	4	0	1	0	11
Marcus Johnson	F	32	2-7	1-4	4-4	6	2	1	0	9
Trey Thomas	Guard	34	1-10	1-7	0-1	1	4	1	0	3
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	9	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Sam Towns	F	25	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	1	1
Braelon Green	G	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Jamai Felt	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Billy Smith	G	33	8-11	2-4	0-0	0	3	3	0	18
Jack Karasinski	F	21	6-9	2-4	1-2	5	0	1	0	15
Ben Johnson	G	35	4-12	2-6	4-4	2	3	0	0	14
Dylan Branson	Forward	24	2-6	1-2	4-4	5	2	0	2	9
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	8-8	2	1	0	0	8
Tyler Doyle	G	17	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	3	1	0	6
Curt Hopf	Forward	22	2-6	1-1	0-0	11	0	1	0	5
Landin Hacker	Guard	12	1-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	2	3
Myles Watkins	G	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Kenyon Goodin	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grant Whitaker	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency99.9

-17.6Net Efficiency17.6

50.9%Effective FG%57.7%

54.3%True Shooting %64.1%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.1%Free Throw Rate42.3%

47.3%3-Point Rate38.5%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.