Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%Fresno State

46.0%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -117

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 76

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 75

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricLong Beach State

47.1MMH Power Index41.1

104.9Offensive Efficiency103.8

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.8

0.0Net Efficiency-4.0

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.4

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

69.4Tempo72.2

51.3%Effective FG%51.5%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

35.5%Free Throw Rate31.1%

0.0Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–41.1), offensive efficiency (104.9–103.8), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.8), net efficiency (0.0–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.5–51.3), ball security (17.7–18.2).

Final

Fresno State

72—69

Long Beach State

Fresno State by 3 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATLong Beach State

18-60FG27-64

30.0%FG%42.0%

6-263PT12-29

23.0%3PT%41.0%

30-44FT3-4

68.0%FT%75.0%

44Rebounds42

18Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists16

8Turnovers19

10Steals7

—Blocks2

12Fouls26

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Amar Augillard	G	34	8-21	4-13	5-7	1	1	0	25
Mykell Robinson	Forward	37	3-9	0-2	10-10	7	5	1	16
David Douglas Jr.	G	31	3-9	2-7	2-3	4	1	4	10
Elijah Price	F	28	1-4	0-0	4-8	9	0	2	6
Mor Seck	C	21	1-5	0-0	4-8	10	0	0	6
Brian Amuneke	G	21	1-3	0-1	3-6	5	1	1	5
Jasir Tremble	Guard	24	1-8	0-3	0-0	4	2	2	2
Joshua Bonga	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	37	7-17	3-6	2-2	4	3	2	0	19
TJ Wainwright	G	27	5-11	3-8	0-0	4	4	2	0	13
Andrew Nagy	Forward	20	3-5	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Cam Denson	F	19	3-5	2-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	8
Varick Lewis	G	9	2-6	2-4	1-2	0	1	1	0	7
Austin Johnson	Not Available	29	3-7	0-1	0-0	11	2	1	2	6
Ramel Lloyd Jr.	G	24	2-7	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Kam Martin	G	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Derrick Michael Xzavierro	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Christian Richardson	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Eli Djordjevic	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency96.0

96.0Defensive Efficiency100.1

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

35.0%Effective FG%51.6%

44.5%True Shooting %52.4%

11.3%Turnover Rate26.1%

73.3%Free Throw Rate6.3%

43.3%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.25Assist / Turnover0.84

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.