Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Toledo

47.7%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -110

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 76

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricUC San Diego

58.8MMH Power Index53.4

116.0Offensive Efficiency108.4

109.6Defensive Efficiency100.7

6.4Net Efficiency7.7

2.3Strength of Schedule-1.3

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

69.8Tempo69.8

55.1%Effective FG%53.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

30.3%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.5Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–53.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–108.4), strength of schedule (2.3–-1.3), recent form (10.2–5.4).

UC San Diego COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–109.6), net efficiency (7.7–6.4), free throw rate (33.2–30.3).

Final

Toledo

45—80

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 35 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATUC San Diego

16-53FG32-57

30.0%FG%56.0%

6-253PT11-30

24.0%3PT%37.0%

7-10FT5-7

70.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds4

6Assists15

17Turnovers12

4Steals11

—Blocks1

10Fouls17

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	27	3-8	1-3	3-4	3	2	1	10
Seth Hubbard	G	21	4-8	2-5	0-0	5	1	0	10
Javan Simmons	F	27	2-5	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	7
Bryce Ford	G	18	2-5	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	5
Isaiah Adams	Guard	30	2-9	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	4
Sam Lewis	G	25	1-10	1-4	0-0	5	0	1	3
Tyler Ode	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	19	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	2
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	21	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	1
Grgur Brcic	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Murphy	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler McGhie	Guard	30	10-16	7-11	0-0	4	4	2	1	27
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	29	8-10	0-1	3-3	5	1	0	0	19
Hayden Gray	Guard	27	4-7	2-5	0-0	1	1	4	0	10
Chris Howell	G	31	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	2	3	0	9
Justin Rochelin	G	21	2-5	2-5	0-0	8	2	0	0	6
Maximo Milovich	Forward	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Nordin Kapic	F	23	1-4	0-2	1-2	3	3	0	0	3
Aidan Burke	G	13	1-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ryder Elisaldez	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Yaqub Mir	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jasen Brooks	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

66.6Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency66.6

-51.8Net Efficiency51.8

35.8%Effective FG%65.8%

39.0%True Shooting %66.3%

25.5%Turnover Rate17.6%

18.9%Free Throw Rate12.3%

47.2%3-Point Rate52.6%

0.35Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 35 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.