Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Cal Poly

96.1%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -22.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -2464

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 68

Projected Total157.5

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 90

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricSaint Mary's

46.5MMH Power Index70.7

107.2Offensive Efficiency116.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency97.4

-3.8Net Efficiency19.3

1.7Strength of Schedule3.0

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

76.6Tempo66.3

52.2%Effective FG%53.1%

19.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-2.9Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–46.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–107.2), defensive efficiency (97.4–111.0), net efficiency (19.3–-3.8).

Final

Cal Poly

66—80

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 14 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATSaint Mary's

23-58FG32-69

40.0%FG%46.0%

8-253PT8-27

32.0%3PT%30.0%

12-13FT8-16

92.0%FT%50.0%

28Rebounds47

9Offensive Rebounds20

13Assists21

17Turnovers14

11Steals12

2Blocks3

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	28	7-11	0-1	2-2	5	2	2	0	16
Mac Riniker	Guard	32	5-11	3-6	2-2	2	5	0	1	15
Jarred Hyder	Guard	34	2-11	1-7	3-4	3	2	3	0	8
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	8	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Guzman Vasilic	G	10	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Luka Tarlac	G	11	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Peter Bandelj	G	11	0-1	0-0	4-4	2	1	0	0	4
Isaac Jessup	Guard	34	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	1	4	0	3
Ethan Menzies	Forward	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	3
Paul Bizimana	Forward	6	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Kieran Elliott	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Isaac Spears	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Logan McLaughlin	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luke Barrett	Forward	39	8-15	3-6	0-0	10	3	2	1	19
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	36	8-16	2-6	0-0	2	5	3	0	18
Mitchell Saxen	Center	34	6-8	0-0	1-6	13	3	3	1	13
Jordan Ross	G	28	4-13	1-7	1-1	2	8	0	0	10
Mikey Lewis	G	14	4-8	1-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Paulius Murauskas	F	14	1-5	0-1	4-6	6	1	1	1	6
Ashton Hardaway	F	25	1-4	1-3	2-2	5	0	2	0	5
Harry Wessels	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Andrew McKeever	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kevin Gad	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joshua Dent	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

92.4Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency92.4

-19.6Net Efficiency19.6

46.6%Effective FG%52.2%

51.4%True Shooting %52.2%

23.6%Turnover Rate19.8%

22.4%Free Throw Rate23.2%

43.1%3-Point Rate39.1%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.