Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Cal State Bakersfield

81.4%Northeastern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNortheastern -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINENortheastern -438

Northeastern

8-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 75

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreNortheastern 84

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricNortheastern

32.2MMH Power Index40.9

100.2Offensive Efficiency107.1

112.6Defensive Efficiency115.7

-12.4Net Efficiency-8.6

-1.7Strength of Schedule2.7

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.0

73.0Tempo69.9

46.4%Effective FG%52.7%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %27.0%

43.8%Free Throw Rate29.9%

-9.1Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northeastern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNortheastern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (40.9–32.2), offensive efficiency (107.1–100.2), net efficiency (-8.6–-12.4), strength of schedule (2.7–-1.7).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (112.6–115.7), offensive rebounding (30.2–27.0), free throw rate (43.8–29.9).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

68—60

Northeastern

Cal State Bakersfield by 8 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATNortheastern

24-64FG19-45

38.0%FG%42.0%

6-133PT6-17

46.0%3PT%35.0%

14-17FT16-23

82.0%FT%70.0%

36Rebounds31

15Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists11

6Turnovers14

4Steals4

5Blocks7

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Stephenson	G	29	8-16	0-0	5-6	4	0	1	0	21
Marvin McGhee III	G	33	4-10	1-5	3-3	4	0	0	0	12
Jemel Jones	G	23	4-13	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	10
Marvin McGhee IV	G	19	3-7	3-5	1-2	5	0	0	0	10
Kadar Waller	G	33	1-6	1-2	2-2	3	5	2	0	5
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	31	2-6	0-0	1-2	8	3	0	3	5
Jaden Alexander	G	10	2-4	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
CJ Hardy	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Gloire Goma	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Shakir Odunewu	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northeastern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LA Pratt	G	37	6-13	1-6	2-2	6	1	0	0	15
Masai Troutman	G	29	4-9	2-5	5-6	1	2	0	1	15
Harold Woods	G	24	2-5	1-2	3-4	3	0	0	0	8
Rashad King	G	32	1-7	1-2	4-4	7	3	1	0	7
Luca Soroa Schaller	G	17	2-4	1-1	1-2	2	3	3	0	6
Collin Metcalf	C	22	2-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	2	5
Youri Fritz	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-3	3	1	0	2	2
Sam Thomson	Forward	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Ryan Williams	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

108.8Offensive Efficiency96.0

96.0Defensive Efficiency108.8

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

42.2%Effective FG%48.9%

47.2%True Shooting %53.6%

9.5%Turnover Rate22.6%

26.6%Free Throw Rate51.1%

20.3%3-Point Rate37.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.