American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%American University

45.2%UAlbany

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL142.9

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -121

UAlbany

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 72

Projected Total142.9

Projected ScoreUAlbany 71

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricUAlbany

48.2MMH Power Index41.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency107.9

105.8Defensive Efficiency108.8

4.8Net Efficiency-0.9

-4.3Strength of Schedule-6.1

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

67.5Tempo64.3

52.6%Effective FG%52.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

30.1%Free Throw Rate25.0%

3.3Average Margin-0.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–41.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–107.9), defensive efficiency (105.8–108.8), net efficiency (4.8–-0.9).

UAlbany COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.8–52.6), offensive rebounding (34.3–28.0).

Final

American University

81—77

UAlbany

American University by 4 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATUAlbany

29-45FG27-60

64.0%FG%45.0%

9-163PT4-13

56.0%3PT%31.0%

14-24FT19-26

58.0%FT%73.0%

24Rebounds25

4Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists8

16Turnovers10

3Steals4

7Blocks—

25Fouls21

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smalls	Guard	26	8-11	5-7	1-2	1	0	1	0	22
Elijah Stephens	Guard	39	7-10	0-1	6-9	5	6	1	0	20
Matt Mayock	F	28	6-8	3-4	2-2	2	3	0	0	17
Matt Rogers	Forward	26	3-6	0-2	4-6	4	1	1	1	10
Lincoln Ball	Guard	30	3-3	0-0	1-3	4	2	0	2	7
Greg Jones	F	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Eric Michaels	F	26	1-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	4	2
Julen Iturbe	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Wyatt Nausadis	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Alex Daniels	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UAlbany

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Justin Neely	F	30	7-11	0-0	6-8	7	2	1	20
Byron Joshua	Guard	39	5-13	1-2	6-6	6	1	1	17
Kheni Briggs	G	20	4-10	2-4	4-4	4	1	1	14
Kacper Klaczek	F	28	4-7	0-2	0-2	4	1	1	8
Aaron Reddish	Forward	20	2-5	1-3	3-6	1	0	0	8
Amar'e Marshall	G	22	2-7	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	4
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	20	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	4
Sully Adewale	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Zacharie Matulu	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

113.4Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency113.4

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

74.4%Effective FG%48.3%

71.8%True Shooting %53.2%

23.4%Turnover Rate13.4%

53.3%Free Throw Rate43.3%

35.6%3-Point Rate21.7%

0.81Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

American University won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.