William & Mary

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.5%William & Mary

63.5%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -174

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 73

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreApp State 78

Team Comparison

William & MaryMetricApp State

53.8MMH Power Index54.2

112.5Offensive Efficiency110.9

105.2Defensive Efficiency101.7

7.3Net Efficiency9.2

-1.5Strength of Schedule-4.2

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

73.9Tempo64.9

55.3%Effective FG%51.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate39.8%

5.4Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–53.8), defensive efficiency (101.7–105.2), net efficiency (9.2–7.3), recent form (7.0–3.5).

William & Mary COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.5–110.9), strength of schedule (-1.5–-4.2), shooting efficiency (55.3–51.1).

Final

William & Mary

76—79

App State

App State by 3 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

William & MaryTEAM STATApp State

29-63FG26-56

46.0%FG%46.0%

9-313PT15-29

29.0%3PT%52.0%

9-10FT12-24

90.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists17

9Turnovers10

4Steals7

3Blocks2

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Collier	F	23	8-15	0-1	3-4	8	2	1	1	19
Malachi Ndur	Forward	19	3-8	1-5	6-6	1	3	1	1	13
Kyle Pulliam	G	20	5-8	2-4	0-0	2	3	0	0	12
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	29	3-7	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Keller Boothby	Forward	23	3-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Kyle Frazier	G	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	5	1	1	1	6
Ryan Jackson Jr.	G	12	2-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Isaiah Mbeng	G	26	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	4
Chase Lowe	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Matteus Case	Guard	10	0-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Miles Hicks	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Finn Lally	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Tate	Guard	37	6-13	2-4	6-7	5	10	2	0	20
Dior Conners	G	29	5-9	5-8	0-0	2	2	1	0	15
CJ Huntley	Forward	33	6-9	1-2	1-4	6	1	0	1	14
Jamil Muttilib	G	15	4-7	4-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	12
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	33	2-12	1-5	2-2	3	2	2	0	7
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	21	2-3	1-1	1-6	7	1	0	1	6
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	20	0-2	0-1	2-5	7	0	2	0	2
Luke Wilson	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Alonzo Dodd	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

114.1Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency114.1

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

53.2%Effective FG%59.8%

56.1%True Shooting %58.6%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

15.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

49.2%3-Point Rate51.8%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

App State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.