Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%Vermont

54.4%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -119

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 71

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreFairfield 73

Team Comparison

VermontMetricFairfield

53.1MMH Power Index50.1

112.2Offensive Efficiency109.6

104.7Defensive Efficiency105.4

7.5Net Efficiency4.2

-4.4Strength of Schedule-3.4

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

65.4Tempo67.8

54.1%Effective FG%49.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

32.4%Free Throw Rate28.4%

4.9Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–50.1), offensive efficiency (112.2–109.6), defensive efficiency (104.7–105.4), net efficiency (7.5–4.2).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-4.4), offensive rebounding (36.0–26.8).

Final

Vermont

66—67

Fairfield

Fairfield by 1 • 62.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATFairfield

22-49FG26-51

45.0%FG%51.0%

8-253PT6-15

32.0%3PT%40.0%

14-17FT9-12

82.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds27

7Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists16

14Turnovers11

5Steals6

3Blocks3

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Long	G	34	6-13	3-8	3-4	4	1	0	0	18
TJ Hurley	G	36	5-13	2-8	5-5	2	3	0	0	17
Jace Roquemore	Guard	33	3-5	2-2	5-5	4	1	2	0	13
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	27	4-9	1-6	0-0	4	3	1	0	9
Sam Alamutu	G	17	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	1	4
Noah Barnett	F	12	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	34	1-3	0-1	0-2	4	0	2	2	2
Sean Blake	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shy Odom	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Peyton Smith	F	13	4-7	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	1	12
Jamie Bergens	Guard	22	4-8	2-4	0-0	1	4	1	0	10
Prophet Johnson	G	21	4-6	0-0	2-2	4	1	2	0	10
Makuei Riek	Guard	19	4-9	2-4	0-0	2	2	0	0	10
Noah Best	G	25	4-5	0-0	0-2	7	1	0	0	8
Braden Sparks	G	19	2-6	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Birima Seck	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	1	3
Michael Rogan	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	33	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Deon Perry	Guard	15	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	4	1	0	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

62.9Possessions62.9

104.9Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

53.1%Effective FG%56.9%

57.8%True Shooting %59.1%

21.8%Turnover Rate17.8%

34.7%Free Throw Rate23.5%

51.0%3-Point Rate29.4%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 62.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.