UNC Asheville

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%UNC Asheville

78.0%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -355

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 72

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 81

Team Comparison

UNC AshevilleMetricCentral Arkansas

47.2MMH Power Index54

107.5Offensive Efficiency113.9

106.8Defensive Efficiency105.2

0.7Net Efficiency8.7

-0.5Strength of Schedule-3.9

-5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

68.3Tempo71.0

52.0%Effective FG%54.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.5Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–47.2), offensive efficiency (113.9–107.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–106.8), net efficiency (8.7–0.7).

UNC Asheville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-3.9), offensive rebounding (30.9–29.6), free throw rate (40.2–30.7).

Final

UNC Asheville

83—92

Central Arkansas

Central Arkansas by 9 • 82.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC AshevilleTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

30-71FG32-66

42.0%FG%48.0%

15-403PT7-27

38.0%3PT%26.0%

8-13FT21-28

62.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists20

22Turnovers13

3Steals14

4Blocks—

23Fouls16

Player Box Score

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fletcher Abee	Guard	44	9-20	9-19	0-0	1	1	0	0	27
Josh Banks	Guard	45	5-16	5-12	2-4	3	1	0	0	17
Toyaz Solomon	F	47	7-12	0-0	1-4	15	2	0	3	15
Jordan Marsh	G	29	5-11	0-3	4-4	4	6	2	0	14
Jemal Davis	Forward	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	0	4
Kameron Taylor	G	26	1-6	0-3	1-1	7	1	0	0	3
Aidan Rubio	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Greg Gantt Jr.	Forward	29	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Julian Clarke	PG	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Elias Cato	Forward	41	8-13	3-7	4-4	9	1	1	23
Layne Taylor	G	46	8-16	1-6	2-2	6	7	5	19
Brayden Fagbemi	G	46	7-12	2-5	3-4	2	7	5	19
Mike Evbagharu	G	40	5-10	0-2	8-11	7	4	1	18
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	16	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	6
Ben Fox	Guard	16	1-3	1-3	1-2	5	0	0	4
Cole McCormick	F	13	1-4	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	2
Diogo Seixas	Forward	26	0-4	0-3	1-2	3	1	1	1
Nehemiah Turner	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

82.3Possessions82.3

100.9Offensive Efficiency111.8

111.8Defensive Efficiency100.9

-10.9Net Efficiency10.9

52.8%Effective FG%53.8%

53.8%True Shooting %58.0%

26.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

18.3%Free Throw Rate42.4%

56.3%3-Point Rate40.9%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Central Arkansas won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 82.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.