LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%LSU

69.7%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL163.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -230

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 79

Projected Total163.8

Projected ScoreUCF 85

Team Comparison

LSUMetricUCF

54.2MMH Power Index57.1

115.5Offensive Efficiency113.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

4.2Net Efficiency3.3

4.5Strength of Schedule6.6

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

70.5Tempo71.2

53.4%Effective FG%53.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

41.9%Free Throw Rate31.1%

2.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

LSU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLSU holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.5–113.3), net efficiency (4.2–3.3), shooting efficiency (53.4–53.0), ball security (15.6–16.0).

UCF COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (57.1–54.2), defensive efficiency (110.0–111.3), strength of schedule (6.6–4.5).

Final

LSU

109—102

UCF

LSU by 7 • 97.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATUCF

38-88FG37-90

43.0%FG%41.0%

12-363PT10-34

33.0%3PT%29.0%

21-29FT18-25

72.0%FT%72.0%

56Rebounds51

21Offensive Rebounds21

16Assists16

17Turnovers16

11Steals15

4Blocks7

20Fouls24

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Sears	Guard	41	8-18	6-15	3-5	9	3	1	1	25
Jalen Reed	F	48	7-12	0-0	7-8	13	4	1	2	21
Cam Carter	Guard	52	6-19	3-10	5-6	7	2	3	0	20
Vyctorius Miller	G	27	6-13	1-5	3-4	1	1	1	0	16
Dji Bailey	Guard	44	6-14	1-3	1-4	5	6	2	0	14
Corey Chest	F	27	3-4	0-0	2-2	6	0	3	1	8
Curtis Givens III	G	8	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Derek Fountain	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Robert Miller III	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mike Williams	G	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	49	8-16	4-8	7-10	6	8	5	0	27
Keyshawn Hall	F	43	7-22	1-6	6-8	10	2	0	0	21
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	42	7-18	5-12	1-2	6	0	1	0	20
Rokas Jocius	F	21	5-8	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	0	10
Dallan Coleman	Guard	41	3-8	0-3	0-1	4	1	5	1	6
Benny Williams	Forward	28	3-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	2	3	6
Moustapha Thiam	C	18	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	2	6
Dior Johnson	G	8	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
JJ Taylor	F	7	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Nils Machowski	G	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

97.4Possessions97.4

111.9Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency111.9

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

50.0%Effective FG%46.7%

53.5%True Shooting %50.1%

17.4%Turnover Rate16.5%

33.0%Free Throw Rate27.8%

40.9%3-Point Rate37.8%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

LSU won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 97.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.