Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.1%Mercyhurst

11.9%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -13.6

PROJECTED TOTAL138.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -740

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 76

Projected Total138.4

Projected ScoreAir Force 62

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricAir Force

45.5MMH Power Index23

105.2Offensive Efficiency91.3

102.2Defensive Efficiency118.5

3.0Net Efficiency-27.2

-5.7Strength of Schedule6.2

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

65.9Tempo67.4

50.5%Effective FG%49.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate21.9%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

25.4%Free Throw Rate35.9%

2.0Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (105.2–91.3), defensive efficiency (102.2–118.5), net efficiency (3.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-5.7), free throw rate (35.9–25.4).

Final

Mercyhurst

48—82

Air Force

Air Force by 34 • 58.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATAir Force

17-51FG31-48

33.0%FG%65.0%

4-213PT15-21

19.0%3PT%71.0%

10-14FT5-9

71.0%FT%56.0%

18Rebounds38

5Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists26

6Turnovers12

7Steals4

5Blocks2

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Reichert	Forward	22	5-9	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	11
Jeff Planutis	Forward	28	3-9	1-4	3-3	0	1	1	1	10
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	15	2-6	1-4	2-2	6	0	0	3	7
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	22	2-3	0-0	1-2	0	1	1	0	5
Max Jusianiec	G	13	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Jake Lemelman	G	21	1-6	1-5	0-1	2	0	3	0	3
Christian Gamble	G	22	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
James Thomas	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Qadir Martin	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	1	2
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Bernie Blunt III	G	16	0-5	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Taylor	Guard	35	7-13	7-10	0-0	10	4	1	0	21
Wesley Celichowski	C	22	6-11	0-0	2-3	3	2	0	0	14
Luke Kearney	F	13	4-5	4-5	0-0	1	2	0	1	12
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	33	3-4	2-2	0-0	3	10	0	0	8
Sam Duskin	Guard	27	2-3	1-2	2-2	4	2	2	1	7
Byron Brown	Guard	31	3-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Caleb Walker	F	16	3-3	0-0	0-2	5	2	0	0	6
Will Cooper	F	4	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Sam Springer	F	3	1-1	1-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Kyle Marshall	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
A.J. Patterson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Josh Gatete	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Sam Akinrelere	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.5Possessions58.5

82.1Offensive Efficiency140.2

140.2Defensive Efficiency82.1

-58.1Net Efficiency58.1

37.3%Effective FG%80.2%

41.6%True Shooting %78.4%

10.2%Turnover Rate20.6%

27.5%Free Throw Rate18.8%

41.2%3-Point Rate43.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Air Force won by 34 points. The game played at approximately 58.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.