Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.8%Sacramento State

88.2%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -14.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -747

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 72

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia 87

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricCalifornia

43MMH Power Index56.5

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.8

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-5.9Net Efficiency7.0

0.9Strength of Schedule2.8

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

73.2Tempo69.9

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.9%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

41.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-4.3Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.8–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–112.0), net efficiency (7.0–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHball security (14.2–14.9), free throw rate (41.8–36.8).

Final

Sacramento State

77—83

California

California by 6 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATCalifornia

25-58FG25-53

43.0%FG%47.0%

10-273PT7-26

37.0%3PT%27.0%

17-26FT26-39

65.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists12

11Turnovers13

5Steals6

1Blocks5

31Fouls21

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	33	9-18	4-10	3-6	8	2	1	0	25
Julian Vaughns	Guard	34	6-10	4-6	2-3	3	1	1	0	18
EJ Neal Jr.	G	23	5-9	2-5	4-4	4	2	1	0	16
Emil Skytta	G	34	2-8	0-4	3-7	2	5	0	0	7
Deonte Williams	Guard	20	3-8	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	7
Bailey Nunn	G	12	0-1	0-1	4-4	0	1	0	0	4
Lachlan Brewer	G	34	0-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	0	0
Bowyn Beatty	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Chudi Dioramma	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Wilson	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	36	4-10	1-4	11-15	4	3	1	1	20
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	27	5-10	1-6	5-7	2	2	0	1	16
Rytis Petraitis	F	30	5-9	1-3	2-5	3	5	3	1	13
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	33	2-9	2-7	4-6	6	2	0	0	10
Mady Sissoko	Center	23	3-3	0-0	4-5	4	0	0	1	10
Spencer Mahoney	F	13	3-6	1-3	0-1	5	0	0	0	7
Christian Tucker	Guard	21	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Lee Dort	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

107.7Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency107.7

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

51.7%Effective FG%53.8%

54.7%True Shooting %58.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate18.2%

44.8%Free Throw Rate73.6%

46.6%3-Point Rate49.1%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

California won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.