Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Ohio

66.0%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.7

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -194

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 73

Projected Total152.7

Projected ScoreTexas State 79

Team Comparison

OhioMetricTexas State

48MMH Power Index49.4

109.7Offensive Efficiency107.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency103.4

-1.0Net Efficiency4.3

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.7

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

71.0Tempo68.6

52.0%Effective FG%51.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.4%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

37.8%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-0.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–48.0), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.7), net efficiency (4.3–-1.0), recent form (9.1–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.7–107.7), strength of schedule (-0.1–-4.7), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.3).

Final

Ohio

65—74

Texas State

Texas State by 9 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATTexas State

19-52FG29-63

37.0%FG%46.0%

8-283PT3-8

29.0%3PT%38.0%

19-25FT13-18

76.0%FT%72.0%

27Rebounds48

8Offensive Rebounds19

10Assists13

7Turnovers10

8Steals6

4Blocks4

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Clayton	Forward	35	5-13	4-12	4-4	5	1	1	1	18
Aidan Hadaway	F	32	3-7	1-3	6-8	5	2	2	2	13
Jackson Paveletzke	G	34	3-9	0-1	6-9	4	2	2	0	12
Elmore James IV	G	28	3-5	2-4	2-2	3	3	0	0	10
AJ Brown	G	20	2-6	1-3	1-2	2	1	2	0	6
Ajay Sheldon	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Vic Searls	Forward	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Elijah Elliott	G	7	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	22	9-14	2-3	4-7	10	1	0	1	24
Christian Turner	Forward	34	5-9	0-1	3-4	6	3	0	0	13
Kaden Gumbs	G	39	5-13	0-0	2-2	3	5	1	0	12
Drue Drinnon	Guard	20	3-5	1-2	4-4	0	0	1	0	11
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	36	3-8	0-1	0-1	11	4	2	1	6
Joshua O'Garro	G	34	3-8	0-1	0-0	7	0	2	1	6
Austin Green	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Nate Deer	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Bessanty Saragba	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

103.5Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency103.5

-14.3Net Efficiency14.3

44.2%Effective FG%48.4%

50.9%True Shooting %51.7%

11.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

48.1%Free Throw Rate28.6%

53.8%3-Point Rate12.7%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Texas State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.