Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.5%Southern Miss

71.5%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -251

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreMontana State 79

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricMontana State

49.9MMH Power Index53.6

106.1Offensive Efficiency114.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

1.2Net Efficiency9.5

-0.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

70.4Tempo68.1

49.9%Effective FG%55.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate14.7%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

43.9%Free Throw Rate30.7%

0.9Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–49.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–106.1), net efficiency (9.5–1.2), recent form (4.9–3.8).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.3–28.1), free throw rate (43.9–30.7).

Final

Southern Miss

59—79

Montana State

Montana State by 20 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATMontana State

20-56FG28-56

36.0%FG%50.0%

3-203PT10-29

15.0%3PT%34.0%

16-22FT13-17

73.0%FT%76.0%

36Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds5

8Assists14

18Turnovers12

5Steals9

1Blocks1

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Christian Watson	G	34	7-18	1-6	4-4	7	2	1	0	19
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	21	2-5	1-4	4-7	4	0	0	1	9
Denijay Harris	Forward	26	3-10	0-2	2-3	5	0	0	0	8
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	35	3-8	0-2	1-2	2	5	3	0	7
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	18	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Lieb Yat	Center	1	0-0	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	4
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	25	1-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	3
Jett Montgomery	G	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Andre Curbelo	Guard	14	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Christian Reid	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Brewer Carruth	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jose Benitez	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Alfonso	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	22	7-8	2-2	3-4	6	1	1	0	19
Brian Goracke	Forward	23	5-7	3-5	2-2	1	0	0	0	15
Tyler Patterson	Guard	22	5-8	3-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	13
Patrick McMahon	G	27	4-10	0-3	2-2	3	3	0	0	10
BJ Kolly	F	17	3-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	6
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	21	2-9	1-5	0-1	3	0	1	0	5
Jabe Mullins	Guard	27	0-5	0-3	4-6	2	3	3	0	4
Jed Miller	G	24	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	5	1	1	3
Chika Nduka	Forward	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jeremiah Davis	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Sam Lecholat	Forward	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

81.0Offensive Efficiency108.5

108.5Defensive Efficiency81.0

-27.5Net Efficiency27.5

38.4%Effective FG%58.9%

44.4%True Shooting %61.6%

24.2%Turnover Rate16.9%

39.3%Free Throw Rate30.4%

35.7%3-Point Rate51.8%

0.44Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Montana State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.