Eastern Kentucky

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%Eastern Kentucky

52.1%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -109

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Kentucky 75

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreBall State 77

Team Comparison

Eastern KentuckyMetricBall State

45.1MMH Power Index41.3

113.3Offensive Efficiency101.7

115.5Defensive Efficiency104.7

-2.2Net Efficiency-3.0

-1.1Strength of Schedule-3.9

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

70.9Tempo66.4

52.9%Effective FG%48.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

31.7%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-1.6Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Eastern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEastern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.1–41.3), offensive efficiency (113.3–101.7), net efficiency (-2.2–-3.0), strength of schedule (-1.1–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–115.5), recent form (-0.9–-6.7), ball security (16.0–16.6).

Final

Eastern Kentucky

61—63

Ball State

Ball State by 2 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern KentuckyTEAM STATBall State

19-61FG22-45

31.0%FG%49.0%

6-243PT6-17

25.0%3PT%35.0%

17-26FT13-19

65.0%FT%68.0%

41Rebounds31

20Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists8

12Turnovers18

13Steals6

2Blocks3

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Eastern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devontae Blanton	Forward	37	10-23	1-1	2-4	11	3	1	0	23
George Kimble III	G	30	2-12	2-8	5-6	6	4	6	0	11
Tyler Andrews	G	11	2-3	2-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
Mayar Wol	F	29	1-7	1-4	2-2	5	1	1	0	5
Yvens Paul	F	14	2-2	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	2	4
Montavious Myrick	F	14	0-1	0-0	4-6	9	0	0	0	4
Jordan Crawford	G	29	1-8	0-5	0-0	0	1	3	0	2
Cyril Martynov	C	12	0-1	0-0	2-4	3	0	1	0	2
Turner Buttry	G	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jackson Holt	G	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fatt Hill	G	30	6-9	0-1	6-9	7	4	0	2	18
Payton Sparks	Center	28	5-8	0-0	2-4	4	2	0	0	12
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	32	5-11	1-5	0-0	5	1	1	0	11
Juanse Gorosito	G	31	3-5	3-4	0-0	2	0	3	1	9
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	35	1-6	1-5	2-2	3	1	1	0	5
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	14	1-3	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
TJ Burch	G	7	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Ben Hendriks	Center	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Mason Jones	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Joey Hart	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

92.1Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency92.1

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

36.1%Effective FG%55.6%

41.6%True Shooting %58.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate26.9%

42.6%Free Throw Rate42.2%

39.3%3-Point Rate37.8%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Ball State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.