Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Boise State

35.6%South Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -181

South Dakota State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 77

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 75

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricSouth Dakota State

59.5MMH Power Index49.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency110.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.9

6.8Net Efficiency3.7

4.2Strength of Schedule-2.2

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.5

68.6Tempo68.2

52.7%Effective FG%52.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

42.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

4.7Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–49.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–110.6), net efficiency (6.8–3.7), strength of schedule (4.2–-2.2).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.9–107.1), ball security (16.2–17.0).

Final

Boise State

83—82

South Dakota State

Boise State by 1 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATSouth Dakota State

29-61FG28-61

48.0%FG%46.0%

12-293PT8-19

41.0%3PT%42.0%

13-14FT18-25

93.0%FT%72.0%

36Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds9

20Assists13

9Turnovers6

2Steals5

2Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	26	11-17	4-8	2-2	3	1	0	1	28
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	37	6-13	3-6	1-1	0	7	0	0	16
Julian Bowie	G	24	4-4	3-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	13
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	36	3-8	0-3	5-6	8	7	0	0	11
Dylan Anderson	C	13	2-5	1-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Andrew Meadow	F	28	0-4	0-3	3-3	6	2	0	0	3
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	5	1-4	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
RJ Keene II	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	0

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Sayler	G	33	8-14	2-4	1-2	1	3	1	0	19
Oscar Cluff	C	29	6-9	0-0	7-10	14	1	0	1	19
Kalen Garry	G	31	4-13	2-6	3-3	4	5	1	0	13
Matthew Mors	F	32	2-8	2-4	3-4	1	2	1	1	9
Owen Larson	G	27	2-6	1-3	4-6	5	0	1	0	9
Jaden Jackson	G	12	3-5	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
William Whorton	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Isaac Lindsey	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Nate Barnhart	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Stoney Hadnot	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

118.9Offensive Efficiency117.5

117.5Defensive Efficiency118.9

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

57.4%Effective FG%52.5%

61.3%True Shooting %56.3%

12.9%Turnover Rate8.6%

23.0%Free Throw Rate41.0%

47.5%3-Point Rate31.1%

2.22Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Boise State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.