Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Illinois State

75.4%George Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorge Washington -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorge Washington -307

George Washington

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 72

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreGeorge Washington 79

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricGeorge Washington

54.3MMH Power Index59.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency115.4

101.4Defensive Efficiency105.2

9.2Net Efficiency10.2

1.0Strength of Schedule3.1

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

67.5Tempo70.5

54.3%Effective FG%55.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.2%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

32.0%Free Throw Rate35.6%

6.2Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

George Washington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGeorge Washington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–54.3), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.6), net efficiency (10.2–9.2), strength of schedule (3.1–1.0).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–105.2), ball security (16.8–18.2).

Final

Illinois State

64—72

George Washington

George Washington by 8 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATGeorge Washington

21-48FG19-50

44.0%FG%38.0%

4-183PT10-28

22.0%3PT%36.0%

18-21FT24-30

86.0%FT%80.0%

29Rebounds33

4Offensive Rebounds7

6Assists12

11Turnovers10

6Steals4

1Blocks4

24Fouls16

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	20	4-8	0-1	10-10	4	1	2	0	18
Johnny Kinziger	G	36	6-12	3-6	1-2	5	1	1	0	16
Dalton Banks	Guard	25	6-10	0-1	1-3	6	1	2	0	13
Landon Wolf	G	31	3-6	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	9
Ty Pence	G	35	1-3	0-1	4-4	8	1	1	0	6
Cameron Barnes	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	27	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Caden Boser	Forward	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Daugherty	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Norris	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

George Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gerald Drumgoole Jr.	Guard	31	4-9	2-5	6-7	2	0	0	1	16
Trey Autry	G	28	5-7	5-7	1-2	5	2	0	0	16
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	38	3-11	0-2	9-11	10	4	0	0	15
Trey Moss	G	18	2-8	1-6	3-4	1	1	1	0	8
Rafael Castro	F	29	2-4	0-0	3-4	6	1	1	2	7
Jacoi Hutchinson	G	34	1-7	1-6	2-2	1	4	1	0	5
Sean Hansen	Forward	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	3
Christian Jones	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

96.7Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency96.7

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

47.9%Effective FG%48.0%

55.2%True Shooting %56.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate60.0%

37.5%3-Point Rate56.0%

0.55Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

George Washington won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.