Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.8%Penn State

80.2%Fordham

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFordham -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFordham -405

Fordham

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 67

Projected Total144.6

Projected ScoreFordham 78

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricFordham

42.3MMH Power Index50.3

109.2Offensive Efficiency105.9

117.6Defensive Efficiency99.3

-8.4Net Efficiency6.6

5.3Strength of Schedule-2.4

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

67.5Tempo65.9

53.4%Effective FG%50.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %34.5%

34.6%Free Throw Rate26.9%

-5.7Average Margin4.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fordham HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFordham holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.3–42.3), defensive efficiency (99.3–117.6), net efficiency (6.6–-8.4), recent form (-0.9–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–105.9), strength of schedule (5.3–-2.4), shooting efficiency (53.4–50.0).

Final

Penn State

85—66

Fordham

Penn State by 19 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATFordham

30-57FG26-54

53.0%FG%48.0%

5-143PT4-18

36.0%3PT%22.0%

20-32FT10-20

63.0%FT%50.0%

38Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists16

12Turnovers14

5Steals9

1Blocks1

19Fouls24

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	27	9-12	0-1	2-5	13	1	2	0	20
Zach Hicks	Forward	32	6-9	3-5	1-1	3	1	1	0	16
Puff Johnson	G	21	5-8	2-3	3-4	1	0	1	0	15
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	29	2-8	0-2	8-8	4	7	1	0	12
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	15	4-6	0-0	4-7	7	0	0	1	12
Freddie Dilione V	G	22	3-6	0-1	0-2	4	1	0	0	6
Kachi Nzeh	F	19	1-2	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	0	3
Dominick Stewart	G	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	16	0-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jahvin Carter	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-2	1	2	0	0	0

Fordham

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Rivera	F	27	7-12	0-2	1-5	4	0	1	0	15
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	24	5-11	0-4	5-6	0	2	3	0	15
Romad Dean	F	29	5-10	2-5	1-2	9	1	0	0	13
Jahmere Tripp	F	25	5-9	1-1	2-2	2	3	4	0	13
Japhet Medor	Guard	25	3-6	1-2	1-2	1	3	1	0	8
Matt Zona	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Will Richardson	G	23	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Jaden Smith	C	14	0-1	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	1	0
Zach Riley	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-1	5	2	0	0	0
Abdou Tsimbila	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Pettis	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

119.0Offensive Efficiency92.4

92.4Defensive Efficiency119.0

26.6Net Efficiency-26.6

57.0%Effective FG%51.9%

58.9%True Shooting %52.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate19.9%

56.1%Free Throw Rate37.0%

24.6%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Penn State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.