Colorado

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.2%Colorado

91.8%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1120

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado 70

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreMichigan State 87

Team Comparison

ColoradoMetricMichigan State

52.7MMH Power Index69.8

112.9Offensive Efficiency117.0

112.4Defensive Efficiency101.5

0.5Net Efficiency15.5

5.1Strength of Schedule7.2

-7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

71.0Tempo67.3

53.0%Effective FG%54.1%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

0.4Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–52.7), offensive efficiency (117.0–112.9), defensive efficiency (101.5–112.4), net efficiency (15.5–0.5).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHball security (14.6–17.2), free throw rate (37.9–36.6).

Final

Colorado

56—72

Michigan State

Michigan State by 16 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColoradoTEAM STATMichigan State

20-54FG30-61

37.0%FG%49.0%

4-193PT2-21

21.0%3PT%10.0%

12-20FT10-13

60.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists11

12Turnovers11

7Steals6

1Blocks4

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Hammond III	Guard	24	6-11	3-7	0-0	3	4	0	0	15
Elijah Malone	C	26	7-10	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	14
Trevor Baskin	Forward	22	3-7	0-1	3-4	3	2	1	0	9
Andrej Jakimovski	Forward	28	1-7	1-4	1-2	4	2	1	0	4
Sebastian Rancik	F	17	0-4	0-2	4-6	3	0	1	0	4
Bangot Dak	F	16	1-5	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
RJ Smith	G	18	1-4	0-1	0-2	0	2	1	0	2
Javon Ruffin	G	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Felix Kossaras	G	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Assane Diop	F	15	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	0	1
Harrison Carrington	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Courtney Anderson Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Pease	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Richardson	Guard	23	6-8	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	13
Frankie Fidler	Forward	21	3-8	1-4	2-2	6	0	1	0	9
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	23	4-6	0-1	0-0	0	6	1	0	8
Coen Carr	F	16	4-4	0-0	0-2	0	0	2	0	8
Szymon Zapala	Center	17	2-5	0-0	3-4	8	0	0	0	7
Tre Holloman	G	14	2-7	0-2	3-3	1	1	0	0	7
Xavier Booker	F	16	2-6	0-4	2-2	1	0	0	2	6
Carson Cooper	C	16	3-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	6
Jaden Akins	Guard	26	2-8	0-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	4
Jaxon Kohler	F	20	2-4	0-2	0-0	7	0	0	1	4
Kur Teng	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Gehrig Normand	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

81.3Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency81.3

-23.2Net Efficiency23.2

40.7%Effective FG%50.8%

44.1%True Shooting %53.6%

17.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

37.0%Free Throw Rate21.3%

35.2%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.