Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Merrimack

35.6%UMass Lowell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -181

UMass Lowell

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 73

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 70

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricUMass Lowell

53.7MMH Power Index43.8

106.4Offensive Efficiency107.9

103.2Defensive Efficiency109.9

3.2Net Efficiency-2.0

0.7Strength of Schedule-4.6

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.0

64.4Tempo69.4

49.3%Effective FG%51.0%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

39.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.1Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–43.8), defensive efficiency (103.2–109.9), net efficiency (3.2–-2.0), strength of schedule (0.7–-4.6).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.9–106.4), shooting efficiency (51.0–49.3), offensive rebounding (35.1–24.7).

Final

Merrimack

74—81

UMass Lowell

UMass Lowell by 7 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATUMass Lowell

29-66FG24-58

44.0%FG%41.0%

7-213PT8-18

33.0%3PT%44.0%

9-13FT25-33

69.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists14

8Turnovers14

8Steals7

1Blocks5

23Fouls12

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Clark	G	31	8-20	1-2	2-2	3	5	4	0	19
Devon Savage	Guard	33	4-12	3-9	0-0	5	0	0	0	11
Malik Edmead	G	21	4-9	0-0	2-4	3	4	0	0	10
Matt Becht	Guard	24	1-4	1-4	5-6	1	0	1	0	8
David Murray	Forward	9	4-4	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	1	8
Bryan Etumnu	F	29	3-6	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	6
Sean Trumper	Forward	28	3-7	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	3
Tye Dorset	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Brooks	Forward	35	8-11	0-0	4-7	12	3	1	3	20
Yuri Covington	Guard	29	4-10	2-6	4-4	7	0	0	0	14
Martin Somerville	G	29	3-6	2-3	5-6	3	1	3	0	13
Anthony Blunt	Guard	29	3-7	2-3	5-5	5	1	1	0	13
Quinton Mincey	Guard	37	3-14	1-5	5-9	11	5	1	1	12
Cam Morris III	F	18	2-6	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	1	6
Xzavier Lino	Forward	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Quincy Clark	Guard	17	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

100.7Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency100.7

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

49.2%Effective FG%48.3%

51.3%True Shooting %55.0%

11.1%Turnover Rate18.7%

19.7%Free Throw Rate56.9%

31.8%3-Point Rate31.0%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UMass Lowell won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.