Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%Missouri State

46.0%Boston College

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoston College -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -117

Boston College

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 72

Projected Total143.7

Projected ScoreBoston College 72

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricBoston College

51.1MMH Power Index45.1

110.5Offensive Efficiency100.0

108.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

2.1Net Efficiency-4.8

0.5Strength of Schedule4.8

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

67.9Tempo67.4

51.8%Effective FG%47.1%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.4Average Margin-3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–45.1), offensive efficiency (110.5–100.0), net efficiency (2.1–-4.8), recent form (-2.1–-14.3).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–108.4), strength of schedule (4.8–0.5), ball security (15.4–16.4).

Final

Missouri State

74—76

Boston College

Boston College by 2 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATBoston College

24-58FG28-56

41.0%FG%50.0%

3-133PT10-18

23.0%3PT%56.0%

23-29FT10-18

79.0%FT%56.0%

35Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists17

12Turnovers14

5Steals2

2Blocks10

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dez White	G	34	6-11	1-4	12-13	3	1	1	0	25
Jalen Hampton	G	37	5-8	0-0	5-6	10	0	1	0	15
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	37	5-12	0-0	3-4	7	3	1	1	13
Zaxton King	G	39	3-10	2-5	1-2	2	3	0	0	9
Vincent Brady II	G	29	3-8	0-3	1-2	5	6	0	1	7
Chase Martin	Guard	28	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Samuel Murray	F	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Wesley Oba	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donald Hand Jr.	G	38	5-11	2-6	6-8	8	1	1	0	18
Fred Payne	G	29	6-8	3-3	3-4	3	1	0	0	18
Elijah Strong	F	33	5-12	3-5	0-0	4	2	0	2	13
Jayden Hastings	F	14	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	8
Chas Kelley III	G	38	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	6	1	1	5
Roger McFarlane	Guard	23	2-5	0-1	1-4	3	3	0	1	5
Dion Brown	G	18	2-5	1-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	5
Chad Venning	Forward	25	2-4	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	4	4
Joshua Beadle	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Luka Toews	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

102.5Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency102.5

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

44.0%Effective FG%58.9%

51.5%True Shooting %58.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate19.6%

50.0%Free Throw Rate32.1%

22.4%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Boston College won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.