Eastern Kentucky

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.3%Eastern Kentucky

82.7%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -11.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -478

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Kentucky 72

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 83

Team Comparison

Eastern KentuckyMetricSouthern Illinois

45.1MMH Power Index54.6

113.3Offensive Efficiency103.4

115.5Defensive Efficiency98.5

-2.2Net Efficiency4.9

-1.1Strength of Schedule1.6

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

70.9Tempo70.6

52.9%Effective FG%49.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.7%Free Throw Rate32.3%

-1.6Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–45.1), defensive efficiency (98.5–115.5), net efficiency (4.9–-2.2), strength of schedule (1.6–-1.1).

Eastern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–103.4), shooting efficiency (52.9–49.5), ball security (16.6–17.0).

Final

Eastern Kentucky

77—72

Southern Illinois

Eastern Kentucky by 5 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern KentuckyTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

26-63FG23-53

41.0%FG%43.0%

8-283PT6-19

29.0%3PT%32.0%

17-22FT20-27

77.0%FT%74.0%

37Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists11

10Turnovers17

12Steals4

2Blocks3

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

Eastern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devontae Blanton	Forward	28	7-14	0-2	3-4	6	2	0	0	17
Mayar Wol	F	30	4-11	3-7	3-4	5	0	2	0	14
George Kimble III	G	30	4-12	2-5	3-4	0	5	5	0	13
Jordan Crawford	G	23	4-10	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Montavious Myrick	F	18	3-3	0-0	3-4	11	2	1	1	9
Jackson Holt	G	20	2-6	1-5	3-4	1	0	3	0	8
Turner Buttry	G	21	1-3	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Yvens Paul	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Cyril Martynov	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
Tyler Andrews	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
DJ Nussbaum	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	35	9-11	2-2	6-10	3	1	0	0	26
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	34	7-16	1-6	6-7	7	3	2	0	21
Drew Steffe	G	24	3-5	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	10
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	27	2-8	0-4	4-4	5	0	0	1	8
Sheridan Sharp	G	26	1-4	1-2	2-2	6	2	0	0	5
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	25	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	1	2
Antwaun Massey	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Davion Sykes	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Jorge Moreno	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

107.4Offensive Efficiency100.4

100.4Defensive Efficiency107.4

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

47.6%Effective FG%49.1%

52.4%True Shooting %54.7%

14.2%Turnover Rate23.3%

34.9%Free Throw Rate50.9%

44.4%3-Point Rate35.8%

0.90Assist / Turnover0.65

Game Summary

Eastern Kentucky won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.