UT Arlington

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.8%UT Arlington

72.2%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -260

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUT Arlington 73

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreMurray State 79

Team Comparison

UT ArlingtonMetricMurray State

49.6MMH Power Index53.6

102.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

97.9Defensive Efficiency111.0

4.8Net Efficiency4.0

-0.8Strength of Schedule3.5

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.1Tempo72.3

48.5%Effective FG%54.0%

20.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

43.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

3.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UT Arlington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUT Arlington holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (97.9–111.0), net efficiency (4.8–4.0), recent form (-3.9–-9.5), offensive rebounding (36.0–32.7).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.6–49.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–102.7), strength of schedule (3.5–-0.8).

Final

UT Arlington

66—79

Murray State

Murray State by 13 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UT ArlingtonTEAM STATMurray State

25-61FG26-55

41.0%FG%47.0%

4-173PT7-19

24.0%3PT%37.0%

12-20FT20-31

60.0%FT%65.0%

34Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists13

11Turnovers12

7Steals7

4Blocks6

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

UT Arlington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lance Ware	Forward	33	9-15	0-0	8-8	9	3	2	3	26
Raysean Seamster	F	30	5-6	0-0	1-4	4	1	1	0	11
Darius Burford	Guard	39	5-13	0-1	0-2	9	3	1	1	10
Jaden Wells	Guard	35	3-11	2-7	1-2	1	0	1	0	9
Brody Robinson	G	30	1-5	1-3	2-4	3	1	0	0	5
Brandyn Talbot	Guard	12	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kade Douglas	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Troy Hupstead	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Ferguson	Guard	39	6-9	1-2	8-9	8	1	0	0	21
Nick Ellington	F	25	6-10	0-0	2-5	5	0	0	2	14
Kylen Milton	Guard	22	5-9	2-6	1-4	5	2	0	0	13
Terence Harcum	Guard	31	2-6	1-3	5-7	2	1	1	0	10
Alden Applewhite	F	25	3-7	1-3	3-4	5	2	1	0	10
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	3-7	2-4	0-0	3	6	1	0	8
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	15	1-6	0-0	1-2	7	1	3	4	3
Justin Morgan	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

92.2Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency92.2

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

44.3%Effective FG%53.6%

46.8%True Shooting %56.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

32.8%Free Throw Rate56.4%

27.9%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Murray State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.