Manhattan

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.2%Manhattan

97.8%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -25.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -4445

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreManhattan 64

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreVirginia 90

Team Comparison

ManhattanMetricVirginia

39.3MMH Power Index68.9

107.1Offensive Efficiency119.0

114.2Defensive Efficiency101.8

-7.1Net Efficiency17.2

-3.6Strength of Schedule5.2

-3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.1Tempo67.6

48.5%Effective FG%55.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

34.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-4.9Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–39.3), offensive efficiency (119.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (101.8–114.2), net efficiency (17.2–-7.1).

Manhattan COUNTERS WITHball security (15.4–16.0), free throw rate (34.8–33.2).

Final

Manhattan

65—74

Virginia

Virginia by 9 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ManhattanTEAM STATVirginia

23-53FG29-54

43.0%FG%54.0%

11-263PT6-14

42.0%3PT%43.0%

8-10FT10-15

80.0%FT%67.0%

31Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists15

14Turnovers8

2Steals12

1Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

Manhattan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Robinson	Guard	30	4-6	2-3	2-3	5	2	0	0	12
Devin Dinkins	G	29	3-7	1-4	4-4	3	1	1	0	11
Masiah Gilyard	G	26	4-9	0-3	2-3	7	2	0	0	10
Shaquil Bender	G	39	4-12	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Fraser Roxburgh	F	16	3-9	3-7	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Jaden Winston	G	26	2-3	2-2	0-0	2	2	0	1	6
Will Sydnor	F	30	2-6	1-2	0-0	7	0	0	0	5
Alijah Curry	Forward	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac McKneely	G	37	5-10	3-4	5-6	5	2	2	0	18
Andrew Rohde	G	36	6-9	0-1	2-2	2	2	4	0	14
Blake Buchanan	F	21	5-9	0-1	1-4	5	2	0	0	11
Dai Dai Ames	G	31	3-7	2-3	2-2	1	5	2	0	10
Jacob Cofie	F	19	5-7	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	2	10
Elijah Saunders	F	33	4-10	0-2	0-1	6	2	2	0	8
TJ Power	F	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Taine Murray	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

104.8Offensive Efficiency119.4

119.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

-14.5Net Efficiency14.5

53.8%Effective FG%59.3%

56.3%True Shooting %60.5%

22.7%Turnover Rate12.9%

18.9%Free Throw Rate27.8%

49.1%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Virginia won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.