Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

74.9%Boise State

25.1%Boston College

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -298

Boston College

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 76

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreBoston College 70

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricBoston College

59.5MMH Power Index45.1

113.9Offensive Efficiency100.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency104.8

6.8Net Efficiency-4.8

4.2Strength of Schedule4.8

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

68.6Tempo67.4

52.7%Effective FG%47.1%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

42.7%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.7Average Margin-3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–45.1), offensive efficiency (113.9–100.0), net efficiency (6.8–-4.8), recent form (5.2–-14.3).

Boston College COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), strength of schedule (4.8–4.2), ball security (15.4–17.0).

Final

Boise State

61—63

Boston College

Boston College by 2 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATBoston College

20-51FG25-51

39.0%FG%49.0%

4-173PT2-12

24.0%3PT%17.0%

17-22FT11-14

77.0%FT%79.0%

30Rebounds32

8Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists8

14Turnovers18

8Steals6

—Blocks1

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Javan Buchanan	F	29	9-16	1-2	5-6	4	1	1	24
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	37	3-7	0-1	5-7	2	3	3	11
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	34	2-9	0-4	6-7	4	1	0	10
Julian Bowie	G	18	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	8
Dylan Anderson	C	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	4
Andrew Meadow	F	25	1-5	1-4	0-0	5	0	2	3
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	25	0-4	0-1	1-2	6	2	1	1
RJ Keene II	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Boston College

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Venning	Forward	28	7-11	0-0	2-4	7	0	0	1	16
Joshua Beadle	G	25	6-9	1-2	0-1	3	2	1	0	13
Elijah Strong	F	25	4-7	1-4	2-2	6	0	0	0	11
Roger McFarlane	Guard	27	3-5	0-1	3-3	7	1	1	0	9
Donald Hand Jr.	G	24	3-8	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Dion Brown	G	29	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Fred Payne	G	16	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	2	2	0	2
Jayden Hastings	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Chas Kelley III	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

88.9Offensive Efficiency91.8

91.8Defensive Efficiency88.9

-2.9Net Efficiency2.9

43.1%Effective FG%51.0%

49.6%True Shooting %54.6%

20.8%Turnover Rate25.8%

43.1%Free Throw Rate27.5%

33.3%3-Point Rate23.5%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.44

Game Summary

Boston College won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.