North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%North Dakota State

49.1%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -104

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 78

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreSamford 77

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSamford

59MMH Power Index54.1

115.4Offensive Efficiency113.5

100.8Defensive Efficiency108.3

14.6Net Efficiency5.2

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.9

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

69.6Tempo69.5

54.5%Effective FG%54.0%

15.5%Turnover Rate13.3%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

31.3%Free Throw Rate42.5%

10.1Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.4–113.5), defensive efficiency (100.8–108.3), net efficiency (14.6–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.9–-4.6), ball security (13.3–15.5), free throw rate (42.5–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

98—103

Samford

Samford by 5 • 74.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSamford

35-67FG40-70

52.0%FG%57.0%

20-393PT10-29

51.0%3PT%34.0%

8-10FT13-23

80.0%FT%57.0%

33Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds18

26Assists24

17Turnovers12

8Steals10

3Blocks8

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	36	10-13	6-9	4-5	4	3	1	0	30
Luke Kasubke	Guard	21	7-10	7-8	0-0	3	0	1	0	21
Jacksen Moni	Forward	31	6-17	0-5	0-0	7	5	1	0	12
Brennan Watkins	G	38	3-9	3-7	0-0	3	6	1	0	9
Noah Feddersen	F	31	3-4	1-1	2-3	8	2	0	1	9
Masen Miller	Guard	22	3-7	3-6	0-0	2	4	2	0	9
Darik Dissette	Guard	19	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	1	6
Andy Stefonowicz	G	22	1-4	0-3	0-0	2	5	1	1	2
Tajavis Miller	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Collin Holloway	Forward	32	9-12	1-2	5-9	11	4	0	1	24
Trey Fort	G	30	8-15	3-9	5-7	0	3	1	0	24
Rylan Jones	Guard	31	7-12	4-7	1-2	2	6	1	0	19
Jaden Brownell	F	22	4-7	0-3	2-3	1	0	1	1	10
Hamed Olayinka	F	17	5-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	4	10
Julian Brown	Guard	21	2-4	1-3	0-0	7	2	0	0	5
Riley Allenspach	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Lukas Walls	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Josh Holloway	G	24	1-5	0-0	0-2	4	7	4	1	2
Isaiah West	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Zion Wilburn	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paulie Stramaglia	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.9Possessions74.9

130.8Offensive Efficiency137.5

137.5Defensive Efficiency130.8

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

67.2%Effective FG%64.3%

68.3%True Shooting %63.6%

22.7%Turnover Rate16.0%

14.9%Free Throw Rate32.9%

58.2%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.53Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Samford won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.