Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.4%Western Illinois

96.6%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -22.2

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -2841

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 61

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 83

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricSouth Alabama

25.9MMH Power Index51.4

96.2Offensive Efficiency110.3

113.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

-17.7Net Efficiency6.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

67.5Tempo67.4

45.4%Effective FG%53.2%

17.5%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

37.5%Free Throw Rate39.8%

-11.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.3–96.2), defensive efficiency (103.9–113.9), net efficiency (6.4–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.1–24.9).

Final

Western Illinois

64—63

South Alabama

Western Illinois by 1 • 60.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATSouth Alabama

22-53FG22-59

42.0%FG%37.0%

15-403PT5-26

38.0%3PT%19.0%

5-6FT14-19

83.0%FT%74.0%

36Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists9

12Turnovers5

4Steals8

3Blocks—

13Fouls10

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Myers	G	35	6-23	6-20	2-2	5	0	1	0	20
Marko Maletic	Guard	29	7-14	6-12	0-0	3	1	2	0	20
Julius Rollins	G	35	5-6	2-3	1-2	6	0	1	1	13
Kayden Carter	Forward	18	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	0	6
Sean Smith	G	38	2-5	1-4	0-0	5	13	0	0	5
Tay Knox	C	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	2	0
Trey Deveaux	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Rodrick Payne	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kiyron Powell	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Myles Corey	G	37	7-15	2-7	1-2	1	2	1	17
Randy Brady	F	35	4-9	0-3	5-7	11	4	0	13
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	33	6-12	0-4	1-1	10	0	3	13
JJ Wheat	G	29	3-5	2-2	5-6	1	2	1	13
John Broom	G	26	1-3	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	4
Judah Brown	Forward	21	1-7	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	3
Dylan Fasoyiro	Guard	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0
Jayden Cooper	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	5	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.0Possessions60.0

106.7Offensive Efficiency105.0

105.0Defensive Efficiency106.7

1.7Net Efficiency-1.7

55.7%Effective FG%41.5%

57.3%True Shooting %46.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate8.2%

11.3%Free Throw Rate32.2%

75.5%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 60.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.